1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin
18 signals across 3 markets · $1,080,935 tracked · resolves May 10, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds for the Bundesliga match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin on May 10, 2026. The active market centers on whether Mainz 05 will win, with PolySpotter tracking $18,082 in smart money and a recent signal from an elite 92% win-rate bettor.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Elite sports sharp fading favorite
Elite 85% winner with a long cross-market sports record bought Mainz No during a major pre-event volume spike, making this a copy-worthy fade of Mainz.
$3,763Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 11.1 - Profitable linked new wallet
New profitable wallet with linked-wallet backing is buying No on a thin Bundesliga draw market, suggesting coordinated conviction despite modest trade size.
$1,294Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 11.1 - Elite 92% win-rate bettor
Elite sports bettor with a 92% historical win rate and $3.0M profit bought $18k of Mainz Yes at 55¢, backed by extensive cross-market betting history.
$18,082Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 10.9 - Profitable last-minute sports whale
A highly profitable repeat wallet with perfect resolved record placed a $247k Yes bet minutes before a live soccer market resolved amid a major volume spike.
$246,937Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 7.6 - Profitable cluster buys No
Three wallets are buying No into a major pre-event volume spike, including two large profitable accounts and one small but perfect-history wallet.
$6,332Score: 6.8 - Perfect-record live timer
A highly profitable live-sports bettor with a perfect resolved record put $60.5k on Mainz minutes before resolution amid a major volume spike.
$60,503Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 6.6 - Profitable last-minute sports whale
A highly profitable repeat bettor deployed nearly $296k on Mainz Yes minutes before resolution during a major volume spike.
$296,142Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 6.5 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Moderately notable sports trade from a repeat cross-market bettor with positive lifetime P&L, backed by a large pre-event volume spike into Mainz Yes.
$5,600Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 5.7 - Profitable event-positioning whale
A profitable high-volume sports trader bought Union Berlin Yes before a major price breakout to 100%, with supporting cross-market positioning in the same event.
$6,189Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 5.4 - Elite soccer sharp buys No
Elite 87% winner with strong lifetime profit is buying Union Berlin No during a major pre-event volume spike and price move.
$4,611Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 5.2
Top wallets in this event
- 0x91eee6…c5b8$1,031,947 · 1 market · 9 alerts · 100% wins
- 0xfd2930…77ae$18,082 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x3f3aa7…e8fd$6,599 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 87% wins
- 0x204f72…5e14$6,189 · 1 market · 1 alert · 55% wins
- 0x2a91d1…c6b1$5,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins
- 0xc97485…b33b$3,763 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0xc89957…e1fd$1,294 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xf6415f…7b6f$1,131 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
FAQs
What are the Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin prediction market odds?
This event follows the Polymarket odds for 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin, with the main traded outcome asking whether Mainz 05 will win on May 10, 2026.
What is the smart money doing on Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin?
PolySpotter currently tracks $18,082 in smart money across this event, including one recent signal highlighted from an elite bettor with a 92% win rate.
Can I track Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin on Polymarket?
Yes. The event is represented on Polymarket through a market on whether 1. FSV Mainz 05 will win the match against 1. FC Union Berlin.
When does the Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve after the Bundesliga match on Sunday, May 10, 2026, with the listed resolution time of 17:30 UTC.
What outcomes are being traded for this event?
The current child market focuses specifically on a Mainz 05 win. PolySpotter’s event hub summarizes that market alongside smart money activity and recent bettor signals.