What does this 1. FSV Mainz 05 prediction market cover?

This market covers whether 1. FSV Mainz 05 will win their scheduled Bundesliga match on May 10, 2026. Only the result in regular time, including stoppage time, counts for resolution.

How does the market resolve if Mainz draw or lose?

If 1. FSV Mainz 05 draw or lose the match, the market resolves to No. It only resolves Yes if Mainz win within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

What happens if the Mainz match is postponed or canceled?

If the match is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed. If it is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to No.

Why track smart money for this Mainz 05 Polymarket?

Smart money alerts can show how profitable or high-volume bettors are positioning before the match. For this market, PolySpotter is tracking $88,965 in smart money and 4 signals, including activity from elite and profitable sports bettors.

Where can I see the current odds for Mainz 05 to win?

You can follow this market page for live Polymarket odds, smart money signals, and updates on whether traders expect 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win on May 10, 2026.

Part of: 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?

This prediction market asks whether 1. FSV Mainz 05 will win their Bundesliga match scheduled for May 10, 2026, counting only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It resolves Yes if Mainz win, and No for a draw, loss, or full cancellation with no make-up game. PolySpotter is tracking $88,965 in smart money activity across 4 signals, including alerts from profitable sports bettors and whale accounts.

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026 If 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $352,434.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, bundesliga

Notable Trades

Elite sports sharp fading favorite

Elite 85% winner with a long cross-market sports record bought Mainz No during a major pre-event volume spike, making this a copy-worthy fade of Mainz.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.32M lifetime.
They have traded 555 events with an 85% hit rate, suggesting a strong sports edge.
Market volume spiked 323x ahead of kickoff while they bought No at 43¢.

$3,763 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

Profitable new whale

A repeatedly flagged newer wallet with an 8-0 resolved record and $2.1M profit bought $139k of Mainz Yes during a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor is 8-for-8 on resolved trades and is up $2.1M lifetime.
They bought $139k of Yes around 57–58¢, a large concentrated position before kickoff.
Market volume spiked 323x versus normal, with the price up 4.5% this week.

$139,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Undefeated whale on Yes

A historically flagged, highly profitable wallet with an 8-for-8 resolved record put nearly $97k on Mainz Yes during a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor is 8-for-8 on resolved bets and up about $2.1M lifetime.
They bought nearly $97k of Yes at 57¢ across four trades shortly before the scheduled match time.
Market volume spiked over 1,200x versus its historical average, with this wallet driving a large one-sided move.

$96,825 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Undefeated repeat whale

Despite the low detector score, this is a very large repeat new-wallet bet from a wallet with an 8-0 resolved record and over $2.1M in profit.

This bettor is 8-for-8 on resolved bets and is up about $2.1M.
They just put $29.5K on Mainz at 57¢, adding meaningful conviction in a liquid market.
The wallet has been flagged 163 times before, suggesting this is a repeat high-stakes bettor rather than a one-off trade.

$29,492 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Undefeated sports whale

A very profitable repeat wallet with an 8-0 resolved record is adding $41k to Mainz Yes amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor is 8-for-8 on resolved bets and is up about $2.1M lifetime.
They bought $41k of Yes around 56–57¢, adding concentrated conviction on Mainz.
Market volume spiked 255x versus its historical average, suggesting fresh money is moving in before kickoff.

$41,317 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable cluster buys No

Three wallets are buying No into a major pre-event volume spike, including two large profitable accounts and one small but perfect-history wallet.

Three wallets put $6.3K on No at 45¢, all moving the same way before kickoff.
Two larger accounts are profitable long term, including one up $617K across 1,207 resolved trades.
Market volume is running 175x above its historical average, suggesting this No move has broader momentum.

$6,332 on No

Profitable repeat whale

A historically successful repeat large bettor with 8 resolved wins and $2.1M profit bought $11.8k of Mainz Yes amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor is 8-for-8 on resolved trades and is up $2.1M lifetime.
They bought $11.8k of Yes at 56¢, adding conviction at the current market price.
Market volume is running 175x above its historical average before the match.

$11,825 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Moderately notable sports trade from a repeat cross-market bettor with positive lifetime P&L, backed by a large pre-event volume spike into Mainz Yes.

This bettor is up about $59.9K lifetime across $1.0M invested, with 56 wins in 96 resolved bets.
They are a heavy cross-market trader, active across 55 events and $300K of tracked related-market volume.
Mainz has seen a 236x volume spike before the match, and this wallet bought Yes at the current 56¢ price.

$5,600 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%

Elite 92% win-rate bettor

Elite sports bettor with a 92% historical win rate and $3.0M profit bought $18k of Mainz Yes at 55¢, backed by extensive cross-market betting history.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $3.0M lifetime.
They have bet across 90 events with a strong record, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
The $18k buy at 55¢ implies they see Mainz as underpriced despite the market at 56%.

$18,082 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%