Part of: World Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout

Will 9+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This prediction market asks whether at least 9 matches in the 2026 FIFA World Cup will be decided by penalty shootout. It resolves after the tournament, currently scheduled for July 20, 2026, using official match data; only knockout-stage matches can count. PolySpotter is tracking $5,103 in smart money activity, with a recent signal showing a 98% winner buying thin No.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,103.

Categories: Sports, Tournament Futures, world cup, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, 2026 FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

98% winner buying thin No

A highly profitable 98% winner put $5.1k into No on a very thin World Cup penalty-shootout market, moving the price sharply higher.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $43k lifetime.
  • They put $5.1k into No on a market with only $830 liquidity and a wide spread.
  • The position pushed No from as low as 44¢ to 88¢, suggesting strong conviction.

$5,103 on No | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5fd8...ce32 — No, $2,000 (98% win rate)
  2. 0x1ee9...197f — Yes, $1,547 (72% win rate)
  3. 0x21ff...0d71 — Yes, $487
  4. 0x4337...8882 — No, $486 (74% win rate)
  5. 0xe8fc...0d3b — Yes, $200
  6. 0x60a8...7d37 — Yes, $116
  7. 0xe9c4...7ebf — Yes, $81
  8. 0x168f...9e00 — Yes, $60
  9. 0x3373...3716 — Yes, $57
  10. 0xc602...7fc1 — Yes, $55 (43% win rate)

Related Theses

World Cup shootouts stay under six

Covers 3 related markets

Will 9+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

33dWorld Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout$5,103 tracked1 signalSportsTournament Futuresworld cupFIFA World CupSoccer2026 FIFA World Cup
Yes
18¢
No
83¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No”
91¢
70¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will 9+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

4h ago

$5,103 on No at 81¢

81¢→83¢↑2¢

Related Theses

World Cup shootouts stay under six
Wallet_0x5fd86 trades 3 related markets
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