Part of: 2026 PGA Championship Winner
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,549.
Categories: PGA, Major Championships, PGA Championship, Sports, Golf
Notable Trades
Profitable serial event trader
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Yes at 76¢ before a sharp move to 89¢, with related positioning across the event.
- This bettor has a long history across 2,375 resolved bets and is up about $428K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 76¢ before the market quickly jumped to 89¢.
- The same wallet has $20K positioned across 3 related PGA Championship markets.
$1,887 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
75% winner buys No
Proven sharp wallet with 75% win rate and $19.2M profit bought No on a highly mispriced-looking long-dated golf outright market.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $19.2M lifetime.
- They are a major cross-market trader, with $10.1M deployed across 217 events.
- Bought No at 35¢ against a golfer priced like a heavy favorite in a long-shot outright market.
$3,382 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
92% winner flips to No
Sharp wallet override: a bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No despite a low composite score.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $14.5k lifetime.
- They bought No at 41¢ after previously closing a Yes position, suggesting a fresh shift in view.
- Entry at 41¢ implies they see meaningful downside from the current Yes-heavy market.
$1,330 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
Sharp cluster fading spike
A profitable sharp wallet joined a 3-wallet cluster buying No against an extreme price move, with cross-market positioning and a clearly contrarian thesis.
- A bettor who wins 92% of resolved trades joined this No position and is up $14.5k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $5.3k of No after Yes spiked to an unusually high 68%.
- The sharp wallet is active across 6 related PGA markets, suggesting a broader event thesis.
$5,316 on No
92% winner flips to NO
Sharp wallet with a 92% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L flipped from a prior Yes position into No on Aaron Rai winning.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $14.5K lifetime.
- They closed a prior Yes position and bought No at 70¢, signaling a fresh flip in view.
- The market has jumped sharply in 24 hours, and this trade fades that move.
$1,399 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable serial event trader
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader is buying No on an apparently stretched golf outright after a sharp price move.
- This bettor is up $428k lifetime across 2,375 resolved trades.
- They have traded 288 event groups and are positioning across 3 PGA Championship markets.
- Entry at 67¢ on No fades a big move that priced Aaron Rai near a one-in-three chance to win.
$1,962 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%
Proven cross-market bettor
Proven profitable wallet with a 78% win rate and extensive cross-market history is taking a $3.3k No position as part of a broader PGA Championship thesis.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $261k lifetime.
- They have traded across 40 events and are now positioned in 5 PGA Championship markets.
- The $3.3k No bet is part of a broader $16.8k event-level position.
$3,272 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 44268602, $115,315
- 0x37e4...c991 — Outcome 44268602, $15,909 (75% win rate)
- 0x5375...aeea — Outcome 34152308, $7,913 (44% win rate)
- 0x8b29...b861 — Outcome 44268602, $6,094
- 0xe401...7b88 — Outcome 44268602, $5,388 (65% win rate)
- 0x20f7...5527 — Outcome 44268602, $5,245 (92% win rate)
- 0x1d60...453d — Outcome 44268602, $4,826 (64% win rate)
- 0xb2ee...9bdc — Outcome 44268602, $4,146 (63% win rate)
- 0x29df...260a — Outcome 44268602, $3,000
- 0xdebb...eedb — Outcome 44268602, $2,898 (65% win rate)
