Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

This Polymarket asks whether Alphabet will be the second-largest company in the world by market capitalization at the close of trading on April 30, 2026. Traders are pricing the odds based on how Alphabet stacks up against other mega-cap companies heading into that date. The market resolves using a consensus of credible reporting on the company rankings at market close.

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,096.

Categories: Business, Finance, Economy, Tech, Big Tech, Monthly

Notable Trades

98% win-rate bettor

A wallet with a 98% win rate sold No at 16¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes at 84¢, following a sharp 34-point move in this market.

  • This bettor wins 98% of their resolved trades and is up $18.8k on $58.1k invested
  • Their sale of No at 16¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 84¢, showing a strong view even after a big move
  • The market had a 34-point price break and still has a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like deliberate positioning rather than noise

$1,096 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $50,266
  2. 0x56e3...81cc Yes, $15,467 (68% win rate)
  3. 0xaee8...1154 Yes, $4,930
  4. 0x0a6d...1d0a No, $4,206
  5. 0xa6c8...e7a8 Yes, $3,172
  6. 0xc959...bea0 Yes, $2,795 (72% win rate)
  7. 0x6136...5dcd Yes, $2,616
  8. 0x8a11...f11a Yes, $2,108
  9. 0x9b8b...9eb6 Yes, $2,063
  10. 0x9a87...89ea Yes, $1,729 (100% win rate)

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

8d$1,096 tracked1 signalBusinessFinanceEconomyTechBig TechMonthly
Yes
74¢
No
26¢

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “Yes
89¢
76¢
64¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

4h ago

$1,096 on Yes at 84¢

84¢74¢10¢