Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $59,930 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0xbf93359% win rate

Total

$59,930

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
    $55,130 @ 84¢
  2. 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
    $1,800 @ 78¢
  3. 3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
    $3,000 @ 47¢
Cross-Market Thesis | PolySpotter