Part of: Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

This prediction market asks whether Anthropic’s private market valuation, measured by Nasdaq Private Market’s NPM Price, reaches at least $1.1 trillion on any eligible date through June 30, 2026. It resolves after the data period, with settlement scheduled for July 1, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $1,169 in smart money activity, including a recent 5-wallet cluster buying NO.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company’s public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company’s primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company’s total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,169.

Categories: Finance, Privates, llm, Dario Amodei, Claude, AI, Big Tech, Tech, anthropic

Notable Trades

5-wallet cluster buys NO

A 5-wallet funded cluster is taking the No side in a very quiet market, with this wallet flipping from a prior Yes position into No.

  • Five wallets tied to the same funder have been active here, suggesting one coordinated view.
  • This trade is larger than the market’s recent daily volume, adding weight in a quiet order book.
  • The wallet previously held Yes but has now flipped to No, signaling a changed view.

$1,169 on No | Wallet win rate: 50%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2f63...f247 No, $13,455 (83% win rate)
  2. 0xeae5...0720 Yes, $6,242 (56% win rate)
  3. 0x8df7...36c4 Yes, $2,288 (72% win rate)
  4. 0x3402...9446 Yes, $1,595 (69% win rate)
  5. 0xb7bc...81ce No, $1,591 (50% win rate)
  6. 0x160d...6f25 No, $1,218 (27% win rate)
  7. 0xac4f...f7e8 Yes, $1,000 (64% win rate)
  8. 0xc7d0...1f8a Yes, $943
  9. 0xd8c1...16c0 No, $892 (68% win rate)
  10. 0xb492...12da No, $673

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

22dWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?$1,169 tracked1 signalFinancePrivatesllmDario AmodeiClaudeAIBig TechTechanthropic
Yes
20¢
No
81¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company’s public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company’s primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company’s total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

Price History — “No
82¢
59¢
36¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

1h ago

$1,169 on No at 74¢

74¢81¢7¢