Part of: Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
This prediction market asks whether Arc will officially launch a governance token by September 30, 2026, with the token required to be publicly transferable and tradable. It resolves “Yes” only if a real token launch occurs by the deadline; announcements or plans alone do not count. PolySpotter is tracking $8,116 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,505.
Categories: Crypto, Arc, Pre-Market, token launch
Notable Trades
New wallet hits thin market
A 2-day-old repeat wallet took a large No position in a very thin crypto token-launch market, spending nearly 10x the market's 24h volume despite no resolved track record.
- A 2-day-old wallet is making repeat large bets, with $2.9k flagged across recent trades.
- This No buy was nearly 10x the market’s 24h volume, a strong conviction signal in a quiet market.
- The market is thin and wide-spread, so this looks like a targeted view rather than routine flow.
$8,116 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
New wallet hits thin market
A 2-day-old repeat wallet took a large No position in a very thin crypto token-launch market, spending nearly 10x the market's 24h volume despite no resolved track record.
- A 2-day-old wallet is making repeat large bets, with $2.9k flagged across recent trades.
- This No buy was nearly 10x the market’s 24h volume, a strong conviction signal in a quiet market.
- The market is thin and wide-spread, so this looks like a targeted view rather than routine flow.
$1,628 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
New wallet hits thin market
A 2-day-old repeat wallet took a large No position in a very thin crypto token-launch market, spending nearly 10x the market's 24h volume despite no resolved track record.
- A 2-day-old wallet is making repeat large bets, with $2.9k flagged across recent trades.
- This No buy was nearly 10x the market’s 24h volume, a strong conviction signal in a quiet market.
- The market is thin and wide-spread, so this looks like a targeted view rather than routine flow.
$2,248 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
New wallet hits thin market
A 2-day-old repeat wallet took a large No position in a very thin crypto token-launch market, spending nearly 10x the market's 24h volume despite no resolved track record.
- A 2-day-old wallet is making repeat large bets, with $2.9k flagged across recent trades.
- This No buy was nearly 10x the market’s 24h volume, a strong conviction signal in a quiet market.
- The market is thin and wide-spread, so this looks like a targeted view rather than routine flow.
$1,644 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
New wallet hits thin market
A 2-day-old repeat wallet took a large No position in a very thin crypto token-launch market, spending nearly 10x the market's 24h volume despite no resolved track record.
- A 2-day-old wallet is making repeat large bets, with $2.9k flagged across recent trades.
- This No buy was nearly 10x the market’s 24h volume, a strong conviction signal in a quiet market.
- The market is thin and wide-spread, so this looks like a targeted view rather than routine flow.
$1,867 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xed10...d2e5 — No, $48,012 (90% win rate)
- 0x993f...3ee3 — Yes, $14,000 (68% win rate)
- 0xf572...7458 — Yes, $8,602
- 0x754e...4f27 — Yes, $4,624
- 0x0a7a...df1b — Yes, $4,125
- 0x3e27...c659 — Yes, $4,117
- 0xf7c6...9508 — Yes, $3,200
- 0x279c...2b82 — Yes, $3,062
- 0x1044...d67a — Yes, $1,907
- 0x4273...19d8 — Yes, $1,738
Related Theses
Arc launches token in Q4 2026
Covers 2 related markets
