Part of: Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City

Will Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 16, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,345.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, MLS, Games

Notable Trades

87% winner exited draw

Sharp wallet with an 87% historical win rate sold out of a draw position at an inflated 57¢, which was directionally equivalent to favoring No at 43¢, though this appears partly like profit-taking.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $112K lifetime.
  • They sold the draw at 57¢, effectively taking the other side at 43¢ before the market fell to 17¢.
  • This looks partly like profit-taking from an earlier 19¢ entry, so the signal is strong but not a fresh all-in position.

$1,423 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Sharp bettor scalping No

Sharp sports bettor with a long profitable record bought No at 73¢ before the market moved to 82¢, though the later sell looks like profit-taking.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $61.7K lifetime.
  • They bought No at 73¢ before the market moved to 82¢.
  • The later sell at 80¢ looks like profit-taking, so the original No entry is the stronger signal.

$4,046 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

79% winner backing No

Sharp long-term profitable sports bettor bought No on the draw at 73¢ in a thin MLS market, and the price has already moved to 82¢.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $61,677 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market sports trader across 55 events with $187,733 in tracked bets.
  • The $1,876 buy was 70% of recent volume, and No has already moved from 73¢ to 82¢.

$1,876 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2a69...d2f7 Yes, $3,201
  2. 0x6d3c...d294 No, $1,397 (51% win rate)
  3. 0x0346...52a5 No, $1,108 (52% win rate)
  4. 0x204f...5e14 No, $1,094 (55% win rate)
  5. 0x507e...beae Yes, $928 (50% win rate)
  6. 0xa9f5...937f No, $507
  7. 0xe94c...1ede No, $443 (66% win rate)
  8. 0x7d7f...86d2 No, $442
  9. 0xe6a5...e95d Yes, $435
  10. 0x84ad...bfb7 Yes, $389 (55% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Liverpool beats Aston Villa

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Wolfsburg will not win

Covers 1 related market

Will Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?

ResolvedAustin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City$7,345 tracked3 signalsSportsSoccerMLSGames
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 16, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No
102¢
89¢
77¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?

2h ago

$1,423 on No at 43¢

43¢100¢57¢

Will Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?

3h ago

$4,046 on No at 73¢

73¢100¢27¢

Will Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?

3h ago

$1,876 on No at 73¢

73¢100¢27¢

Related Theses