Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City
5 signals across 2 markets · $23,862 tracked · resolves May 17, 2026
Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City is an MLS prediction-market event focused on whether Austin FC will win on May 16, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $16,516 in smart money across 2 signals, including an elite sports sharp buying NO and activity from a profitable serial sports bettor.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Elite sports sharp buying NO
Elite sports bettor with an 86% win rate and $1.53M profit is buying Austin FC No at 37¢.
$4,677Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 8.0 - 79% winner backing No
Sharp long-term profitable sports bettor bought No on the draw at 73¢ in a thin MLS market, and the price has already moved to 82¢.
$1,876Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 5.0 - 87% winner exited draw
Sharp wallet with an 87% historical win rate sold out of a draw position at an inflated 57¢, which was directionally equivalent to favoring No at 43¢, though this appears partly like profit-taking.
$1,423Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 4.0 - Sharp bettor scalping No
Sharp sports bettor with a long profitable record bought No at 73¢ before the market moved to 82¢, though the later sell looks like profit-taking.
$4,046Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 1.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought $11.8k of Yes on Austin FC at 63¢, adding a meaningful sports position despite only a moderate detection score.
$11,840Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 0.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0xdb2223…6478$11,840 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
- 0x12f93b…74ba$5,922 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 80% wins
- 0xc97485…b33b$4,677 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0xb184c7…b6c6$1,423 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City?
This event tracks the market for whether Austin FC will win on May 16, 2026. The live odds reflect traders pricing Austin FC’s chances, with NO covering outcomes where Austin does not win, such as a draw or Sporting Kansas City result.
What is the smart money doing on Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City?
PolySpotter has tracked $16,516 in smart money across 2 signals for this event. Recent alerts include an elite sports sharp buying NO, suggesting at least some sharp activity is fading an Austin FC win.
Who is betting on this MLS prediction market?
Recent activity includes a profitable serial sports bettor and an elite sports sharp. PolySpotter highlights these wallets because their past trading behavior may be more informative than ordinary market volume.
When does the Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by May 17, 2026 at 00:30 UTC, after the MLS match result is known and the Austin FC win market can be settled.