Part of: Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City

Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-16?

This Polymarket market asks whether Austin FC will win its scheduled MLS match on May 16, 2026, counting only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market resolves to “Yes” if Austin FC wins in regulation, and “No” for a draw, loss, or full cancellation with no make-up game. PolySpotter is tracking $11,840 in smart money activity and 1 recent signal for this market.

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 16, 2026 If Austin FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,516.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, MLS, Games

Notable Trades

Elite sports sharp buying NO

Elite sports bettor with an 86% win rate and $1.53M profit is buying Austin FC No at 37¢.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $1.53M lifetime.
  • They have traded 589 events with an 86% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 37¢ implies they see Austin failing to win as underpriced despite the market favoring Austin.

$4,677 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought $11.8k of Yes on Austin FC at 63¢, adding a meaningful sports position despite only a moderate detection score.

  • This bettor is up $1.85M lifetime across 308 resolved markets.
  • They have traded 154 events and 186 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports process.
  • The $11.8k buy at 63¢ is about half of the market’s 24h volume, showing real conviction.

$11,840 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdb22...6478 Yes, $71,530 (63% win rate)
  2. 0xc974...b33b No, $12,640 (86% win rate)
  3. 0x2a69...d2f7 No, $8,883
  4. 0x84cf...2f63 No, $6,084 (51% win rate)
  5. 0x39d3...9ef0 No, $5,260 (44% win rate)
  6. 0xd3b6...fa47 No, $4,743 (41% win rate)
  7. 0x9495...9a27 No, $3,947 (64% win rate)
  8. 0x507e...beae No, $3,671 (50% win rate)
  9. 0x6d3c...d294 No, $3,072 (51% win rate)
  10. 0x9d57...18dd Yes, $2,697 (46% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

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Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-16?

ResolvedAustin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City$16,516 tracked2 signalsSportsSoccerMLSGames
Yes
63¢
No
38¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 16, 2026 If Austin FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Yes
67¢
61¢
55¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-16?

1h ago

$4,677 on No at 37¢

37¢38¢1¢

Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-16?

1h ago

$11,840 on Yes at 63¢

63¢63¢

Related Theses