Part of: Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City

Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-16?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,516.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, MLS, Games

Notable Trades

Elite sports sharp buying NO

Elite sports bettor with an 86% win rate and $1.53M profit is buying Austin FC No at 37¢.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $1.53M lifetime.
They have traded 589 events with an 86% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 37¢ implies they see Austin failing to win as underpriced despite the market favoring Austin.

$4,677 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought $11.8k of Yes on Austin FC at 63¢, adding a meaningful sports position despite only a moderate detection score.

This bettor is up $1.85M lifetime across 308 resolved markets.
They have traded 154 events and 186 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports process.
The $11.8k buy at 63¢ is about half of the market’s 24h volume, showing real conviction.

$11,840 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%

Top Holders

0xdb22...6478 — Outcome 14930877, $71,530 (66% win rate)
0xdd5e...9040 — Outcome 14930877, $1,256 (76% win rate)
0xf0ca...117a — Outcome 14930877, $1,050
0xa3b5...941a — Outcome 14930877, $1,000
0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 42429690, $430 (61% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 42429690, $293
0x0ca5...a155 — Outcome 14930877, $250
0x7d7f...86d2 — Outcome 14930877, $200
0xdaaa...ca7d — Outcome 14930877, $135 (74% win rate)
0x1a59...a57e — Outcome 14930877, $130

Related Theses

Thunder will beat Spurs

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-16?

ResolvedAustin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City$16,516 tracked2 signalsSportsSoccerMLSGames

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 16, 2026 If Austin FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.