Part of: World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This Polymarket prediction market tracks whether Austria will advance to the knockout stages of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The market resolves “Yes” if Austria reaches the Round of 32, and “No” if they are mathematically eliminated; PolySpotter currently tracks $1,118 in smart money and 1 signal on this market. The listed resolution date is June 28, 2026, though resolution may occur earlier if Austria’s fate is decided.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,598.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer
Notable Trades
New profitable wallet buying Yes
A 2-day-old wallet with early profits is repeatedly taking sizable positions, buying Austria Yes in a relatively thin, wide-spread World Cup market.
- This 2-day-old wallet is already up $284 and has won 4 of 5 resolved bets.
- It has now made repeat flagged bets totaling about $2.6K, suggesting early conviction rather than a one-off trade.
- The 75¢ entry is meaningful in a thin market with only $3.5K liquidity and a 9¢ spread.
$1,118 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
New profitable wallet sizing up
A 2-day-old wallet with early profits made a meaningful Yes buy that was large relative to this quiet Austria market.
- This 2-day-old bettor is already up $284 and has won 4 of 5 resolved bets.
- The $1.48K buy was about 70% of recent daily volume, making it a meaningful bet in a thin market.
- They bought Yes at 74¢ after Austria’s odds fell 9 points in a day.
$1,480 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0x4b59...3aa6 — No, $6,200 (66% win rate)
- 0xe904...44e9 — Yes, $5,503 (80% win rate)
- 0xb9ab...f282 — No, $4,092 (50% win rate)
- 0x810d...0d24 — Yes, $3,200 (50% win rate)
- 0x373a...f4c1 — Yes, $2,657 (56% win rate)
- 0x1be7...a6e3 — No, $1,141 (80% win rate)
- 0xa641...0866 — Yes, $682
- 0x6c43...fb9b — No, $664 (42% win rate)
- 0xf371...fd71 — No, $233
- 0x38e5...95e7 — Yes, $200 (79% win rate)
