Part of: World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,279.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Team Props, Tournament Futures
Notable Trades
80% winner buying Yes
Sharp wallet with an 80% long-run win rate and $617k lifetime profit bought Yes on a thin, wide-spread World Cup market.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $617k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 818 markets with over $2.1M total staked.
- Entry at 86¢ on a wide-spread market suggests confidence despite limited liquidity.
$1,880 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable high-volume trader
A very high-volume, profitable cross-market trader bought Austria Yes in a thin, wide-spread market, making the wallet track record the main reason to surface it.
- This bettor has 50,701 resolved trades, wins 69% of them, and is up about $212K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 734 events with $7.2M in tracked betting volume.
- The buy was at 89¢ in a thin market with only a few hundred dollars of visible liquidity.
$1,894 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
80% winner buying Yes
Sharp wallet with an 80% long-run win rate and $617k lifetime profit bought Yes on a thin, wide-spread World Cup market.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $617k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 818 markets with over $2.1M total staked.
- Entry at 86¢ on a wide-spread market suggests confidence despite limited liquidity.
$1,141 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
91% winner buying Yes
Sharp wallet with a 91% resolved win rate and +$43k P&L bought Austria Yes despite only moderate market activity.
- This bettor has won 10 of 11 resolved bets and is up $43k lifetime.
- They paid 78¢ for Yes, above the current 76–77¢ market, suggesting conviction despite recent drift lower.
- The wallet has been flagged repeatedly and is still making meaningful sports bets.
$1,911 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%
Elite sports sharp buying Yes
Sharp high-volume sports trader with an 86% historical win rate and $7.48M profit bought Austria Yes at 78%.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $7.48M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 308 events with nearly $4.9M in tracked activity.
- Entry at 78¢ is below the current 81¢ market price, suggesting early value on Austria advancing.
$1,821 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
86% winner buying Yes
A highly profitable 86% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought $8k of Yes on a relatively thin Austria advancement market.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $7.5M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 308 events with nearly $4.9M tracked in similar activity.
- The $8k Yes buy is large versus the market’s $4.7k liquidity, and the current 76¢ price is below their average entry.
$8,034 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
New profitable wallet buying Yes
A 2-day-old wallet with early profits is repeatedly taking sizable positions, buying Austria Yes in a relatively thin, wide-spread World Cup market.
- This 2-day-old wallet is already up $284 and has won 4 of 5 resolved bets.
- It has now made repeat flagged bets totaling about $2.6K, suggesting early conviction rather than a one-off trade.
- The 75¢ entry is meaningful in a thin market with only $3.5K liquidity and a 9¢ spread.
$1,118 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
New profitable wallet sizing up
A 2-day-old wallet with early profits made a meaningful Yes buy that was large relative to this quiet Austria market.
- This 2-day-old bettor is already up $284 and has won 4 of 5 resolved bets.
- The $1.48K buy was about 70% of recent daily volume, making it a meaningful bet in a thin market.
- They bought Yes at 74¢ after Austria’s odds fell 9 points in a day.
$1,480 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0x33ef...c498 — No, $2,000 (72% win rate)
- 0xbb1c...f754 — No, $1,713
- 0x51fd...4272 — No, $1,566
- 0x05f0...2469 — No, $1,500
- 0x5213...6a35 — No, $1,053 (89% win rate)
- 0x3e88...0c70 — No, $707
- 0x1025...7e11 — No, $680 (74% win rate)
- 0xf289...4e1f — No, $670
- 0x6c43...fb9b — No, $664 (51% win rate)
- 0x43d7...dca3 — No, $476
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