Part of: Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

This Polymarket market asks whether Avengers: Doomsday will earn more at the domestic box office during its opening week than any other movie released in 2026. Current odds were not included in the supplied market data; the market uses final figures from The Numbers and is scheduled to resolve by February 1, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week. If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,304.

Categories: Movies, Culture, The Odyssey, Spider-Man

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader buys Yes

A sizable Yes buy in a relatively quiet market is reinforced by the bettor’s extensive, profitable history and a linked-wallet signal, though their win rate alone is not exceptional.

  • The $4,304 Yes buy was substantial against the detector’s reported $59 in 24-hour volume.
  • This bettor has 1,740 resolved trades, a 62% win rate, and about $762,000 in reported profit.
  • The market has risen 10.5% over the past day since the 51¢ entry; two wallets are linked by a shared funder.

$4,304 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%

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Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?$4,304 tracked1 signalMoviesCultureThe OdysseySpider-Man
Yes
52¢
No
48¢

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week. If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Price History — “Yes”
58¢
52¢
46¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

2026-10-11 06:52 UTC

$4,304 on Yes at 51¢

51¢→52¢↑1¢

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