Part of: UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to semis

Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,881.

Categories: Soccer, Sports, Champions League, UCL

Notable Trades

87% win-rate event trader

A very active cross-market sports bettor with an 87% hit rate is placing another event-wide position on Bayern, suggesting a deliberate Champions League thesis worth tracking despite the rich price.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades across 447 bets and has traded nearly $6.0M across 339 events
  • They are active in 6 markets tied to this same Champions League event, which suggests a broader tournament view rather than a one-off punt
  • They bought Bayern at 85¢, a high-conviction price that implies they think this favorite is still undervalued

$3,184 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

87% win-rate event specialist

A proven high-volume sports/event specialist with an 87% win rate is adding across six related Champions League markets, suggesting a strong event-level thesis despite the short-priced entry.

  • This bettor wins 87% of 445 resolved trades and has bet nearly $6.0M across 338 events.
  • They have put $67k across 6 markets tied to the same Champions League event, which looks like a coordinated event-level view.
  • They bought at 86¢ in a reasonably liquid market, signaling confidence even at a short price.

$3,243 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

93% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 93% win rate sold Bayern Yes at 82¢, which converts to a Buy No signal around 18¢.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $566k across 581 positions
  • They trade across 36 markets in 34 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • Selling Yes at 82¢ is equivalent to buying No at 18¢, a clear fade of an already expensive price after a 1-week 18-point run-up

$1,209 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

93% win-rate seller

A highly proven sports/event trader with a 93% win rate sold Yes at 84¢, which translates to buying No at 16¢ on a market that has already surged 19% in a day.

  • This bettor wins 93% of their trades and is up about $562k across 579 resolved markets
  • They sold Yes at 84¢, which is equivalent to buying No at 16¢ against a market priced 85% Yes
  • This wallet trades across 31 related markets in 30 events, suggesting a repeatable event-driven edge

$1,245 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6df9...e49e Outcome 75339717, $5,555
  2. 0x078d...2916 Outcome 75339717, $4,512
  3. 0x927b...1f2e Outcome 75339717, $3,175 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xd6e2...450b Outcome 88668756, $3,000
  5. 0xe606...081d Outcome 75339717, $1,629
  6. 0x2375...691f Outcome 75339717, $1,470
  7. 0x7533...285e Outcome 75339717, $1,255
  8. 0x0086...5b87 Outcome 75339717, $1,000
  9. 0x820c...2283 Outcome 75339717, $876
  10. 0x1236...c968 Outcome 75339717, $650

Related Theses

Covers 6 related markets

Covers 6 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

ResolvedUEFA Champions League: Team to advance to semis$8,881 tracked4 signalsSoccerSportsChampions LeagueUCL

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Champions League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

38d ago

$3,184 on Yes at 85¢

Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

38d ago

$3,243 on Yes at 86¢

Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

43d ago

$1,209 on No at 18¢

Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

45d ago

$1,245 on No at 16¢

Related Theses