What has to happen for this Bitcoin $72,500 market to resolve Yes?

The market resolves Yes if any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle after the market’s creation and before the end of May has a final Low price of $72,500 or lower.

Does Bitcoin price action before the market was created count?

No. The rules state that price action before this market’s creation is not considered for resolution.

What exchange is used to determine whether BTC hit $72,500?

Resolution is based on Binance BTC/USDT Low prices, specifically the final Low price on 1-minute candles.

When does the market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve on June 1, 2026 at 04:00 UTC, after the May trading window ends at 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking for this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $1,410 in smart money and 1 smart money signal for this Bitcoin dip market, including activity from a profitable cross-market crypto trader.

Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?

This Polymarket market asks whether Bitcoin will trade at or below $72,500 on any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle low during May, after the market was created. It resolves after the May period ends, with the listed resolution time of June 1, 2026 at 04:00 UTC; PolySpotter is tracking $1,410 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,410.

Categories: Bitcoin, Monthly, Hit Price, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring

Notable Trades

Profitable cross-market crypto trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader is adding to a broader $147.9k position across seven related Bitcoin markets, though this specific entry is small and at high odds.

This bettor is up $281k lifetime across more than 2,500 resolved trades.
They have $147.9k spread across 7 related markets, suggesting a broader Bitcoin price thesis.
Entry at 84¢ is high-conviction but leaves limited upside unless the odds move closer to certain.

$1,410 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%