Part of: What will happen before GTA VI?
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) has a final "High" price of $1,000,000 or higher before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. The resolution source for Bitcoin is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,974.
Categories: Culture, All, Politics, GTA VI
Notable Trades
88% win-rate serial trader
Surface because this is a very high-volume serial cross-market trader with an 88% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L re-entering Yes near 49¢.
- This bettor has won 88% of 1,858 resolved bets and is up $112k lifetime.
- They are a major cross-market trader, with $7.2M traded across 418 markets.
- They previously had a $10k Yes position here and are re-entering around 49¢.
$1,974 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xc97b...e85c — Yes, $84,636
- 0x00ba...1ac4 — No, $37,824
- 0xc88e...f3e1 — Yes, $27,998 (37% win rate)
- 0x8de0...87a0 — No, $16,597
- 0x206d...a31b — No, $11,595
- 0xe120...283e — Yes, $10,000
- 0x74d7...c38f — No, $8,064
- 0x1f51...531e — Yes, $6,000
- 0xb401...df2a — Yes, $4,935 (48% win rate)
- 0x9ad0...bf3d — Yes, $4,787
Related Theses
Bitcoin reaches $1M before GTA VI
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