What does this Bitcoin $80,000 prediction market measure?

It measures whether Bitcoin reaches or exceeds $80,000 on Binance’s BTC/USDT pair before the end of December 31, 2026 ET. A single qualifying 1-minute candle high is enough for the market to resolve Yes.

When does the Bitcoin $80K by 2026 market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027, after the trading window ending at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 has passed.

What price source is used to decide the outcome?

Resolution is based on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle High prices. Price action before the market was created does not count.

How can I track smart money on this BTC prediction market?

PolySpotter tracks notable trader and whale activity in the market. For this market, it currently shows $3,749 in smart money tracked and one recent alert related to a profitable BTC whale thesis.

Where can I find the current odds for Bitcoin hitting $80,000 by 2026?

You can view the live Polymarket odds on the market page. Odds move over time as traders react to Bitcoin price action, macro news, ETF flows, and crypto market sentiment.

Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) will reach a high of $80,000 on Binance at any point from market creation through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. It resolves based on Binance 1-minute candle “High” prices, with final resolution expected on January 1, 2027. PolySpotter is tracking $3,749 in smart money activity and one recent signal tied to a profitable BTC whale thesis; check the live market for current odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,749.

Categories: Bitcoin, Yearly, Hit Price, Crypto Prices, Crypto

Notable Trades

Profitable BTC whale thesis

A highly profitable, experienced BTC bettor bought Yes in a thin market with a wide spread while also positioning across related Bitcoin target markets.

This bettor is up $415K lifetime across more than 42,000 resolved trades.
They bought $3.7K of Yes in a thin market, far larger than recent volume and at a wide 16¢ spread.
This is part of a broader Bitcoin price-target thesis across 4 related markets totaling $8.7K.

$3,749 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%