Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
This Bitcoin prediction market asks whether BTC will reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026. It resolves Yes if any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle records a final High of at least $90,000; otherwise, it resolves No. Live Yes/No odds are not included in the supplied metadata.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
35 smart money signals detected, totaling $115,505.
Categories: Bitcoin, Yearly, Hit Price, Crypto Prices, Crypto
Notable Trades
Profitable 83% crypto bettor
Surfaced because a profitable 83% win-rate wallet is taking a fresh $3,000 No position, despite the alert itself being only a modest two-market cross-market signal.
- This bettor has won 83% of 36 resolved trades and is up $1,858 lifetime.
- They bought $3,000 of No at 75¢, betting Bitcoin does not touch $90,000 by the end of 2026.
- The wallet has $4,206 positioned across two related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader bearish view.
$2,579 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%
Profitable 83% crypto bettor
Surfaced because a profitable 83% win-rate wallet is taking a fresh $3,000 No position, despite the alert itself being only a modest two-market cross-market signal.
- This bettor has won 83% of 36 resolved trades and is up $1,858 lifetime.
- They bought $3,000 of No at 75¢, betting Bitcoin does not touch $90,000 by the end of 2026.
- The wallet has $4,206 positioned across two related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader bearish view.
$1,472 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%
Profitable crypto cross-market bettor
Profitable wallet with an 81% resolved-bet win rate is building a cross-market BTC upside position, converting this SELL No into a BUY Yes at 19¢.
- This bettor has won 81% of 194 resolved bets and is up $28K lifetime.
- They have placed $18.7K across 3 related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader BTC upside thesis.
- Selling No at 81¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 19¢, a long-shot entry on Bitcoin touching $90K by end-2026.
$4,744 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable crypto cross-market bettor
Profitable wallet with an 81% resolved-bet win rate is building a cross-market BTC upside position, converting this SELL No into a BUY Yes at 19¢.
- This bettor has won 81% of 194 resolved bets and is up $28K lifetime.
- They have placed $18.7K across 3 related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader BTC upside thesis.
- Selling No at 81¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 19¢, a long-shot entry on Bitcoin touching $90K by end-2026.
$3,291 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
Serial 93% cross-market bettor
Serial cross-market trader with a huge 93% resolved win record is effectively buying Yes on BTC reaching $90k by end-2026, though lifetime ROI is modest.
- This bettor has won 93% of 1,281 resolved trades and is profitable lifetime.
- They are effectively buying Yes at 20¢ with a $7.5k position.
- The trade is large versus recent activity, equal to about two-thirds of the market’s 24h volume.
$7,478 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
77% winner backs BTC breakout
Profitable 77% wallet with positive P&L made a $21.3k effective BUY Yes bet on BTC reaching $90k by end-2026, and current odds are below their entry.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $9.5k lifetime.
- They effectively bought Yes with $21.3k, averaging about 29¢ entry.
- Current Yes odds are around 20¢, cheaper than where this profitable wallet entered.
$21,260 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Profitable 83% crypto bettor
Surfaced because a profitable 83% win-rate wallet is taking a fresh $3,000 No position, despite the alert itself being only a modest two-market cross-market signal.
- This bettor has won 83% of 36 resolved trades and is up $1,858 lifetime.
- They bought $3,000 of No at 75¢, betting Bitcoin does not touch $90,000 by the end of 2026.
- The wallet has $4,206 positioned across two related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader bearish view.
$3,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%
81% winner fades Bitcoin rally
Sharp 81% lifetime winner is adding a $10k No bet while holding a broader $99k cross-market thesis against Bitcoin reaching higher targets by end-2026.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $33k lifetime across 182 markets.
- They have a broader $99k position across 5 related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a deliberate crypto thesis.
- The $10k entry was larger than recent market activity and bought No at 66¢.
$10,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable BTC ladder bettor
Profitable high-volume wallet is rebuilding a Yes position as part of a $198k five-market Bitcoin thesis, despite this individual trade being modest in a liquid market.
- This wallet is up about $954k lifetime across $38.4M traded.
- They have $198k spread across 5 related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader directional thesis.
- This is a fresh re-entry into Yes at 28¢ after previously closing a much higher-priced position.
$2,800 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
Profitable BTC whale re-entering YES
A highly profitable whale is effectively buying Yes at 27¢ while carrying a $201k cross-market Bitcoin thesis, making this more notable than a simple low-liquidity trade.
- This wallet is up about $954k lifetime across $38.4M traded.
- They have a $201k thesis across 5 related Bitcoin markets, not just this one bet.
- Selling No at 73¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 27¢ after the market fell 29% this week.
$6,301 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
Top Holders
- 0x56ad...f13e — No, $160,001 (60% win rate)
- 0x3eba...849a — Yes, $60,619 (93% win rate)
- 0x1465...7072 — No, $41,668 (93% win rate)
- 0xa19c...de6b — Yes, $40,927 (78% win rate)
- 0xe734...4f0c — Yes, $34,361 (42% win rate)
- 0xf705...3ca7 — Yes, $30,421 (50% win rate)
- 0x00ff...f7ad — No, $29,374 (59% win rate)
- 0x8b4b...541b — No, $23,853 (83% win rate)
- 0xd2e8...eeea — No, $20,441 (79% win rate)
- 0xbe52...32c5 — Yes, $16,620 (42% win rate)
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