Part of: CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?

This prediction market asks whether CA Osasuna will win its scheduled La Liga match on May 12, 2026, counting only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It resolves to “Yes” if Osasuna wins, and “No” for a draw, loss, or full cancellation without a make-up game. PolySpotter is tracking $9,807 in smart money across 3 signals, with recent sharp activity leaning toward “No.”

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 12, 2026 If CA Osasuna wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,770.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga

Notable Trades

Sharp bettors pile into No

Three profitable, high-volume sports bettors are all taking No, including wallets with 96% and 83% long-term win rates plus a 45x pre-event volume spike.

  • Two standout bettors are backing No, including one who wins 96% of resolved bets and is up $394K lifetime.
  • Three wallets moved the same way for $10.3K, with all trades effectively buying No around 62–64¢.
  • Market volume is surging 45x above normal ahead of the match, suggesting coordinated pre-game conviction.

$10,298 on No

96% winner backs No

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 96% record and extensive cross-market history bought No on Osasuna at 62¢.

  • This bettor has won 372 of 388 resolved trades and is up about $395k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 83 events, with a 96% hit rate on those positions.
  • Entry at 62¢ suggests they see Osasuna failing to win as meaningfully underpriced.

$1,488 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%

83% winner sports sharp

Sharp sports bettor with an 83% win rate and $341k lifetime profit bought No on Osasuna at 62¢, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved bets and is up $341,681 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 99 events with a strong track record, making the wallet itself the main signal.
  • Buying No at 62¢ suggests they see Osasuna failing to win as underpriced despite current market odds.

$1,984 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

  1. 0x507e...beae Yes, $4,893 (50% win rate)
  2. 0x6d3c...d294 Yes, $4,534 (50% win rate)
  3. 0x7236...ea53 No, $3,200 (83% win rate)
  4. 0x1572...7991 No, $3,000
  5. 0x7ea5...de7b Yes, $2,908 (66% win rate)
  6. 0x5d1d...afd2 Yes, $2,844 (55% win rate)
  7. 0x6444...672e Yes, $2,800
  8. 0x374a...03ed No, $2,400 (96% win rate)
  9. 0xd0ac...a2c9 Yes, $2,000 (63% win rate)
  10. 0xe1a6...d584 No, $1,400 (94% win rate)

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Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?

11hCA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid$13,770 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLa Liga
Yes
38¢
No
63¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 12, 2026 If CA Osasuna wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No
65¢
62¢
59¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?

2h ago

$10,298 on No at 63¢

63¢63¢

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?

3h ago

$1,488 on No at 62¢

62¢63¢1¢

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?

3h ago

$1,984 on No at 62¢

62¢63¢1¢

Related Theses