Part of: CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente

Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-03?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,338.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Argentina Primera División

Notable Trades

91% win-rate bettor leads Yes cluster

A four-wallet $18.3K Yes cluster included a highly profitable bettor buying at 38¢, followed by a sharp move to 100%.

  • A bettor with a 91% win rate and $2.15M lifetime profit bought $11,322 of Yes at 38¢.
  • Four wallets committed $18,338 to Yes, while the price surged 48 percentage points to 100%.
  • The coordinated buying and 15.1x volume spike indicate strong conviction, though several wallets had prior positions in this market.

$18,338 on Yes

Winning bettor scales into Yes

A historically high-win-rate bettor added to an existing Yes position as the market surged 44 percentage points beyond its prior range.

  • This bettor has won 43 of 57 resolved trades, a 75% win rate, and is adding to an existing Yes position.
  • The $1,000 purchase at 80¢ helped accompany a sharp move from roughly 38¢ to 84¢.
  • The trade is already up to 84¢, so the remaining upside is smaller and the bettor's lifetime P&L is negative.

$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9f15...bdb3 Outcome 82817589, $4,815 (74% win rate)
  2. 0x4f29...7a7e Outcome 82817589, $4,316 (56% win rate)
  3. 0x7236...ea53 Outcome 82817589, $2,000 (88% win rate)
  4. 0xfb07...e2cc Outcome 82817589, $2,000
  5. 0x0e5c...ab50 Outcome 82817589, $1,993 (66% win rate)
  6. 0x6be9...5998 Outcome 82817589, $1,274 (57% win rate)
  7. 0xfff3...e2c5 Outcome 82817589, $1,082 (84% win rate)
  8. 0x7a64...683e Outcome 82817589, $436
  9. 0x57f6...ba20 Outcome 82817589, $410 (99% win rate)
  10. 0x6407...d360 Outcome 82817589, $323 (83% win rate)

Related Theses

No US-Iran peace deal

Covers 6 related markets

Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-03?

ResolvedCA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente$19,338 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerArgentina Primera División

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 3, 2026 If CA Vélez Sarsfield wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-03?

19d ago

$18,338 on Yes at 38¢

Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-03?

20d ago

$1,000 on Yes at 80¢

Related Theses