Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,529.

Categories: Politics, gerrymander, Midterms, redistrict, Elections

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor buys thin YES

A profitable, experienced wallet made a $3.5k Yes buy on an extremely quiet political market, over 100x the prior 24h volume.

  • This bettor is up $115k across 1,119 resolved trades.
  • The $3.5k Yes buy was over 100x the market’s 24h volume.
  • They paid 88¢ on a quiet political market, signaling confidence in a new California map.

$3,529 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1c14...0869 Yes, $2,322 (60% win rate)
  2. 0xc602...7fc1 No, $801 (39% win rate)
  3. 0x168f...9e00 No, $572
  4. 0x21ff...0d71 No, $245
  5. 0x55c0...6c7b No, $180
  6. 0x51f2...38ef Yes, $151
  7. 0x4b81...f9b6 No, $117
  8. 0xec82...6eaa No, $100
  9. 0x81d1...4e30 No, $100 (48% win rate)
  10. 0xac4a...bf1e No, $87

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

181d$3,529 tracked1 signalPoliticsgerrymanderMidtermsredistrictElections
Yes
98¢
No
2¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “Yes
100¢
70¢
41¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

5h ago

$3,529 on Yes at 88¢

88¢98¢10¢

Related Theses