Part of: Claude Code Commits hit ___ by May 31?

Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 700.0k by May 31?

This Polymarket asks whether the daily Claude Code Commits figure will reach or exceed 700,000 on any date before May 31, 2026. Resolution is based only on figures shown by the Claude Code Commits Tracker using SemiAnalysis data. PolySpotter currently tracks $6,348 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $6,348.

Categories: Claude, anthropic, AI, Tech, Code

Notable Trades

Profitable wallet in thin market

Profitable high-volume wallet made a concentrated Yes bet across thin Claude Code Commits markets, spending far more than normal daily volume and moving price sharply.

  • This bettor has 979 resolved bets and is up about $131k lifetime.
  • They put $6.3k into a market with only $38 of 24h volume, a very large conviction bet for this order book.
  • The wallet also bet across 3 related markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off trade.

$6,348 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7e80...631b Outcome 10916487, $500
  2. 0xe397...bfcb Outcome 10916487, $259
  3. 0xe018...a22d Outcome 10916487, $214
  4. 0x59c3...882f Outcome 10916487, $150
  5. 0x5c3a...c9e1 Outcome 10916487, $147
  6. 0x8030...7b74 Outcome 10916487, $103
  7. 0xbb9f...557b Outcome 92176881, $89
  8. 0x9a94...d5f9 Outcome 10916487, $50
  9. 0x8d64...9190 Outcome 92176881, $50
  10. 0xad53...ef24 Outcome 10916487, $42

Related Theses

Starmer exits after June 2026

Covers 2 related markets

Claude commits top 750k

Covers 3 related markets

Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 700.0k by May 31?

2dClaude Code Commits hit ___ by May 31?$6,348 tracked1 signalClaudeanthropicAITechCode

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or above the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time. Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.

Notable Trades

Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 700.0k by May 31?

3h ago

$6,348 on Yes at 79¢

Related Theses