Part of: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
This prediction market asks whether the official CME settlement price for front-month Crude Oil (CL) futures will hit $150 or higher on any trading day by the final trading day of June 2026. It resolves “Yes” if CL settles at or above $150 before the deadline, otherwise it resolves “No.” PolySpotter is tracking $9,019 in smart money and 3 signals, including whale activity on both the oil spike and the No side.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
23 smart money signals detected, totaling $79,558.
Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil
Notable Trades
Repeat new-wallet oil buyer
A 25-day-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets and early profits is taking the long-shot Yes side on oil hitting $150.
- This 25-day-old wallet has already had 29 large-bet flags totaling $97k.
- The wallet is up $2.5k so far and has won its first 5 resolved bets, though mostly at very high prices.
- This trade is effectively buying Yes at 11¢, betting on a large oil spike before June 2026.
$2,670 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable cross-market oil bettor
Profitable 77% win-rate wallet is adding a cross-market No position during a 46x volume spike, making this a credible copy-trade despite buying a heavy favorite.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $19k lifetime.
- They have put $18k across 5 related oil markets, showing a broader bearish thesis.
- Market volume is running 46x above its historical average while they buy No at 89¢.
$4,166 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable cross-market oil bettor
A profitable 77% winner is taking a cross-market crude oil thesis across 5 related markets, though this specific trade may be position management rather than a clean new bet.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $19K lifetime.
- They have placed nearly $14K across 5 related crude oil markets, suggesting a broader oil-price thesis.
- Selling No at 87¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 13¢ on a long-shot oil spike outcome.
$2,183 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
$4M sharp buying long-shot Yes
A highly profitable 88% win-rate wallet is taking a bullish cross-market position on crude oil upside, converting to a Yes buy at 13¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $4.0M lifetime.
- They have built a $21.9K position across 3 related crude oil markets.
- Selling No at 87¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 13¢, a long-shot bet on oil hitting $150.
$4,152 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
84% winner flips long Yes
Sharp wallet override: an 84% winner with positive lifetime P&L is rotating into Yes exposure on a crude oil tail-risk market despite only a modest cross-market signal.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $13,850 lifetime.
- They sold No at 88¢, equivalent to buying Yes at 12¢ on a high-upside oil tail-risk market.
- They have been active across 2 related crude oil markets, suggesting a broader view rather than a one-off bet.
$1,056 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%
20-0 bettor buying NO
Despite the weak size-based signal, this is worth surfacing because the wallet has a perfect 20-0 resolved record and is buying No on a liquid macro market.
- This bettor has won 20 of 20 resolved trades and is up $2,043 lifetime.
- They put $8,800 on No at 88¢, a meaningful bet against crude oil reaching $150 by June 2026.
- The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like a deliberate macro position rather than a thin-market anomaly.
$8,800 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
84% winner flips long-shot Yes
Sharp 84% lifetime winner is effectively buying Yes on $150 crude by selling No, though the signal is only modest and this may partly reflect closing an existing No position.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $13,850 lifetime across $1.7M invested.
- Selling No at 87¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 13¢ on a long-shot oil move.
- They have traded related markets in this event, suggesting an active crude-oil thesis rather than a random bet.
$1,740 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%
Sharp bettor trimming No
Sharp wallet with an 84% resolved-bet win rate is reducing No exposure, which converts to a small Yes entry, though this looks more like position management than fresh conviction.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $13.9K lifetime.
- Selling No at 88¢ converts to buying Yes at 12¢, a low-priced upside bet on crude oil reaching $150.
- This appears to reduce a prior No position, so the signal is weaker than a fresh standalone buy.
$1,760 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%
New whale buying oil spike
A new repeat-flagged wallet has built a $9.2k Yes position on a macro oil tail-risk market, with its earliest 9¢ entry already marked up to 16¢.
- A new wallet has now been flagged 8 times for large bets, totaling $27.3k across recent activity.
- This bettor built a $9.2k Yes position, including an early 9¢ buy that is already trading around 16¢.
- The bet targets a major macro event, where informed positioning is plausible and the payoff is still asymmetric.
$9,215 on Yes
New whale betting oil spike
A new repeat large bettor is building a concentrated bullish crude-oil tail-risk position, with 7 flagged bets totaling $16.9k despite no resolved track record yet.
- This new wallet has made 7 flagged large bets totaling $16.9k, suggesting repeat conviction rather than a one-off punt.
- They bought Yes at 15¢, implying a high-upside view that crude can hit $150 by June 2026.
- The wallet has also bet across 2 related markets in this event, pointing to a broader oil-spike thesis.
$3,649 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0x93fb...3e4a — Yes, $286,124 (32% win rate)
- 0xb47a...6d60 — No, $250,353 (82% win rate)
- 0xa80e...b94b — No, $84,155 (46% win rate)
- 0xafc0...5087 — Yes, $82,222 (67% win rate)
- 0xf467...935f — No, $50,021
- 0x7d0b...840a — Yes, $49,765
- 0xc8b7...12b9 — No, $47,412 (65% win rate)
- 0x3e21...35ca — No, $40,000
- 0x80b8...7c06 — No, $38,200 (100% win rate)
- 0x1925...4654 — Yes, $35,442 (79% win rate)
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