Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
This Polymarket asks whether the CME front-month NYMEX Crude Oil (CL) futures contract will record an official settlement price of $60 or lower on any trading day before the end of June 2026. The market resolves based on the active-month CME settlement price, not spot oil prices, and settles on June 30, 2026. PolySpotter is currently tracking $8,979 in smart money activity on this market, including a recent whale alert tied to an oil downside thesis.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or below the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $8,979.
Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil
Notable Trades
New whale pressing oil thesis
A 5-day-old wallet has repeatedly put nearly $38k across three related crude oil markets and just made another large, high-confidence buy on No, suggesting strong conviction on this event thesis.
- A 5-day-old wallet has already made 7 flagged bets totaling $38k across related crude oil markets
- This trade buys No at 90¢, a concentrated high-conviction bet that oil will not hit $60 by June
- The $9.0k order was nearly 3x this market's prior 24-hour volume, showing real size in a thinner market
$8,979 on No
Top Holders
- 0xe734...4f0c — Yes, $53,673 (39% win rate)
- 0x8b87...3e8d — No, $16,108
- 0x4bbe...2cf3 — No, $15,869 (78% win rate)
- 0x993c...6787 — No, $10,000
- 0x85d5...aece — No, $10,000
- 0x5f45...a77a — No, $5,000 (62% win rate)
- 0xfc08...6be7 — Yes, $3,388 (89% win rate)
- 0xaab2...a999 — No, $2,500
- 0x69bf...0c5d — Yes, $2,197
- 0x682c...17ae — Yes, $1,708
