Part of: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,395.

Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil

Notable Trades

Profitable oil curve bettor

High-volume profitable wallet is building a broad crude-oil thesis across 10 related markets, with this buy landing in a thin market after recent Yes momentum.

  • This high-volume wallet is up $188k lifetime and has traded nearly $10M across resolved markets.
  • They have positioned across 10 related crude-oil markets with $131k total exposure.
  • This $1.35k Yes buy is large versus only $135 of 24h volume, and Yes is already up 6 points today.

$1,355 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 46%

Sharp bettor exits YES

Sharp positive-P&L wallet exited Yes on a very thin oil market and has related cross-market positioning, making the equivalent No side worth monitoring despite the small trade size.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $13.9K lifetime.
  • They sold Yes in a very thin market where this $1.0K trade was about a quarter of 24h volume.
  • The equivalent copy is buying No at 48¢, signaling skepticism that crude oil settles at or below $90 by end of June.

$1,040 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6986...1402 Outcome 11028872, $32,509
  2. 0xc432...d176 Outcome 11028872, $29,026
  3. 0xe94b...5abe Outcome 11028872, $5,546 (73% win rate)
  4. 0x4c2d...f8ae Outcome 11028872, $4,302 (42% win rate)
  5. 0xd426...334a Outcome 11028872, $2,503 (43% win rate)
  6. 0x2999...4da1 Outcome 11028872, $2,154
  7. 0xe7a3...e60a Outcome 11028872, $2,060
  8. 0xc2f2...0ff7 Outcome 11028872, $2,024
  9. 0xb275...28b1 Outcome 11028872, $1,335
  10. 0xdf68...20d8 Outcome 11028872, $1,187 (93% win rate)

Related Theses

Crude stays range-bound June

Covers 5 related markets

Iran deal timing arbitrage

Covers 4 related markets

Oil whipsaws violently in May

Covers 16 related markets

Oil swings wildly in June

Covers 12 related markets

Covers 23 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Crude oil volatility explodes

Covers 15 related markets

SPY stays above $710

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

No Iran peace deal soon

Covers 2 related markets

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?

ResolvedWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?$2,395 tracked2 signalsCommoditiesHide From NewNYMEX Crude Oil FuturesOil

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or below the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

Notable Trades

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?

40d ago

$1,355 on Yes at 70¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?

47d ago

$1,040 on No at 48¢

Related Theses