Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

This Polymarket asks whether Cyprus will finish in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026. It resolves to Yes if Cyprus is officially one of the 10 highest-scoring entries in the final standings, and can resolve early to No if Cyprus is eliminated and can no longer qualify. The market is expected to resolve after Eurovision 2026, with a fallback resolution deadline of July 31, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,304.

Categories: Music, Eurovision, Awards, Culture

Notable Trades

Profitable new wallet buying Yes

A 2-day-old wallet with unusually large repeat bets and strong early profits bought Yes at 36¢, suggesting informed conviction despite this being an entertainment market.

  • This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 17 large-bet alerts and is up about $65k early
  • It bought Yes at 36¢, a price that implies a roughly 2.8x payoff if Cyprus makes the top 10
  • The bettor is also trading across 2 Eurovision markets, pointing to an event-specific view rather than a one-off punt

$2,304 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

  1. 0x94c4...43ca — Yes, $6,400 (83% win rate)
  2. 0x73af...b880 — No, $2,216 (63% win rate)
  3. 0x56d4...9c57 — No, $2,000
  4. 0xf383...c49f — Yes, $1,368
  5. 0x1aee...c139 — No, $1,178 (46% win rate)
  6. 0x41f0...3eeb — No, $854
  7. 0xc825...6696 — Yes, $700
  8. 0x588d...099a — No, $522
  9. 0x8bf3...6077 — No, $333
  10. 0x16cb...2704 — No, $309

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

31d$2,304 tracked1 signalMusicEurovisionAwardsCulture
Yes
37¢
No
64¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Price History — “No”
66¢
62¢
58¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

10h ago

$2,304 on Yes at 36¢

36¢→37¢↑1¢

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