Part of: Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,557.

Categories: Music, Eurovision, Awards, Culture

Notable Trades

95% winner flips to NO

Sharp 95% winning wallet has flipped from a prior Cyprus Yes position into No while also trading related Eurovision markets.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $65.7k lifetime.
They flipped from an earlier Cyprus Yes position into No, suggesting a changed view rather than routine profit-taking.
They are active across 3 related Eurovision markets with $4.1k positioned, pointing to a broader thesis.

$1,253 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable new wallet buying Yes

A 2-day-old wallet with unusually large repeat bets and strong early profits bought Yes at 36¢, suggesting informed conviction despite this being an entertainment market.

This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 17 large-bet alerts and is up about $65k early
It bought Yes at 36¢, a price that implies a roughly 2.8x payoff if Cyprus makes the top 10
The bettor is also trading across 2 Eurovision markets, pointing to an event-specific view rather than a one-off punt

$2,304 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

0x3496...8fc4 — Outcome 40815246, $4,285 (100% win rate)
0x4447...e040 — Outcome 40815246, $4,199
0x3045...9c3c — Outcome 40815246, $2,390 (27% win rate)
0x77fa...1520 — Outcome 40815246, $2,080
0x1a60...cc65 — Outcome 40815246, $1,573 (21% win rate)
0xbcd2...0eac — Outcome 40815246, $1,557
0x2c61...ac8b — Outcome 40815246, $1,481
0xfa03...2927 — Outcome 40815246, $1,026
0x4af7...2381 — Outcome 40815246, $952 (53% win rate)
0x744e...d6c9 — Outcome 40815246, $833

Related Theses

Bulgaria advances, Switzerland falls

Covers 2 related markets

Ruiz, Valencia avoid 2026 arrests

Covers 2 related markets

Australia wins Eurovision 2026

Covers 3 related markets

Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

ResolvedEurovision 2026: Top 10$3,557 tracked2 signalsMusicEurovisionAwardsCulture

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Price History — “No”

95¢

80¢

65¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction