Part of: Deep Fission IPO Closing Market Cap

Will Deep Fission's market cap be less than $1.25B at market close on IPO day?

This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading. In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,200.

Categories: Tech, IPO, Finance, IPOs, Business, Rewards 50, 4.5, 20, Rewards 20, 4.5, 50

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor in thin IPO market

Sharp 82% lifetime winner bought a meaningful Yes position in a thin IPO market, and the price has already moved from 69% to 79%.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $13.6K lifetime.
  • Their $1.2K Yes buy was 67% of the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a thin book.
  • Entry at 69¢ has already moved to 79¢, matching strong recent momentum.

$1,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0x54fd...4ac3 Yes, $1,749 (82% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $598
  3. 0xc023...5ae8 No, $500
  4. 0x3749...4094 No, $265
  5. 0x9d7f...9941 No, $200
  6. 0x6f67...102c No, $183
  7. 0x817f...bf28 Yes, $143
  8. 0x758b...0a1c No, $135
  9. 0x3329...43a6 Yes, $96
  10. 0x79cc...4d02 Yes, $89

Will Deep Fission's market cap be less than $1.25B at market close on IPO day?

ResolvedDeep Fission IPO Closing Market Cap$1,200 tracked1 signalTechIPOFinanceIPOsBusinessRewards 50, 4.5, 20Rewards 20, 4.5, 50
Yes
82¢
No
18¢

This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading. In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.

Price History — “Yes
83¢
59¢
34¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Deep Fission's market cap be less than $1.25B at market close on IPO day?

1h ago

$1,200 on Yes at 69¢

69¢82¢13¢