Part of: Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Donald Trump will make between 100 and 119 qualifying Truth Social posts from May 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET through May 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Qualifying activity includes main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, while replies generally do not count unless captured on the main feed by the tracker. PolySpotter is currently tracking $2,225 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including a recent alert showing an 86% winner buying NO.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,225.

Categories: Politics, Trump, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

86% winner buying NO

Sharp wallet override: a highly profitable 86% winner made a large NO bet that was 68.5% of this thin market's 24h volume.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $168K lifetime.
  • The $2.2K NO buy was large for this thin market, equal to 68.5% of 24h volume.
  • They entered NO at 85¢, showing strong conviction that the 100-119 post range misses.

$2,225 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $4,463
  2. 0x9592...a7b8 No, $3,993 (96% win rate)
  3. 0x77c8...bc8c Yes, $2,813 (31% win rate)
  4. 0xae7c...487e No, $2,633 (86% win rate)
  5. 0x3690...e16f Yes, $1,835
  6. 0x7500...567f Yes, $1,513
  7. 0x4ffe...9f71 Yes, $1,111
  8. 0xac4a...bf1e Yes, $855
  9. 0x0114...fbfa Yes, $588
  10. 0xa49b...7054 Yes, $475 (81% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

3dDonald Trump # Truth Social posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?$2,225 tracked1 signalPoliticsTrumpTweet MarketsRewards Automation 200 4.5 50
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “No
102¢
85¢
67¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

3h ago

$2,225 on No at 85¢

85¢100¢15¢

Related Theses