Part of: Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,376.

Categories: Politics, Culture, Trump

Notable Trades

93% win-rate bettor

A bettor with a 93% win rate is making a concentrated buy in a thin Trump daily market, where their $2.4k order was larger than the market’s recent volume.

  • This bettor wins 93% of their resolved trades, with 43 wins in 46 bets.
  • They bought $2.4k of Yes at 89-90¢, more than the market’s recent trading volume in a thin book.
  • The price is already 91¢, so this looks like a high-confidence add rather than random whale activity.

$2,376 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x387e...56a5 Outcome 12965179, $500
  2. 0x473c...4f61 Outcome 12965179, $379 (58% win rate)
  3. 0x1cdd...e595 Outcome 12965179, $293
  4. 0xe3f3...1cc4 Outcome 12965179, $224
  5. 0x4be7...8e91 Outcome 12965179, $201 (95% win rate)
  6. 0x0061...8fd6 Outcome 12965179, $200
  7. 0x87ff...6632 Outcome 12965179, $200
  8. 0xb85d...4ac4 Outcome 12965179, $113 (76% win rate)
  9. 0x6334...85fa Outcome 12965179, $112
  10. 0x2a66...a177 Outcome 12965179, $91

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?

ResolvedWill Trump publicly insult someone on...?$2,376 tracked1 signalPoliticsCultureTrump

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Notable Trades

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?

45d ago

$2,376 on Yes at 90¢

Related Theses