Part of: Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026?
This prediction market tracks whether Donald Trump will physically enter Arizona at any point from January 1 through December 31, 2026. It resolves to Yes if Trump is in Arizona's terrestrial territory during that window, and No if he does not visit before the end of 2026. Traders are using this market to price the odds of a Trump Arizona trip on Polymarket ahead of the December 31, 2026 resolution.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,106.
Notable Trades
Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026?
A wallet with an exceptional 94% win rate and strong historical edge reopened a fresh $3k Yes position at 74¢ in a relatively thin market just before the price rebounded to 84%.
- This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $16.9k across 192 resolved markets
- They reopened a fresh $3k Yes position at 74¢, and the market moved to 84¢ right after
- The bet is large versus $4.7k liquidity, suggesting real conviction rather than routine flow
$3,039 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026?
A bettor with a very strong early track record put $7.1k into an extremely thin political market, taking over half of the day’s volume and moving price sharply.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $2.5k on $14.5k invested
- The $7.1k buy was 52% of the market’s 24-hour volume in a market with only $187 liquidity
- They paid 79¢ and the market swung sharply after the trade, showing real conviction in a thin market
$7,067 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0x8da2...ab27 — Outcome 47749154, $4,000
- 0x62f5...453f — Outcome 47749154, $2,000
- 0xe1a4...a4ba — Outcome 47749154, $999
- 0x3329...43a6 — Outcome 47749154, $500
- 0x1fc9...ace5 — Outcome 47749154, $371
- 0xacbd...61e3 — Outcome 47749154, $104
- 0xf658...dcfe — Outcome 47749154, $100 (94% win rate)
- 0x7ab6...fa77 — Outcome 47749154, $67
- 0xf0b0...8cab — Outcome 47749154, $60
- 0xa297...2574 — Outcome 47749154, $55
