Part of: EagleRock IPO Closing Market Cap

Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?

This Polymarket prediction market asks whether EagleRock Landing’s market capitalization will be between $2.0 billion and $2.5 billion at the closing price on its first day of trading. It is scheduled around the IPO pricing date of May 14, 2026, and if the IPO does not occur by June 30, 2026, the market resolves to “No IPO before July 2026.” PolySpotter currently tracks $1,304 in smart money exposure across 1 signal for this market.

This market will resolve based on EagleRock Landing's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading. In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,304.

Categories: IPOs, Tech, IPO, Finance, rewards 200, 4.5, 20

Notable Trades

Quiet IPO range fade

A single wallet put $1.3k on No in an extremely thin IPO market, over 6x the market's prior 24h volume, suggesting possible informed positioning despite no strong wallet track record.

  • A $1.3k No bet was more than 6x the market’s entire 24h volume.
  • This is a very thin IPO market with only $194 traded before the alert, so one confident bet stands out.
  • Entry at 70¢ suggests the bettor sees EagleRock landing outside this market-cap range as highly likely.

$1,304 on No | Wallet win rate: 39%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa58d...b9b8 — No, $765 (39% win rate)
  2. 0xc8ab...6418 — Yes, $200 (47% win rate)
  3. 0x61ef...131e — Yes, $160
  4. 0xead3...b125 — Yes, $160
  5. 0xa3e2...fdf8 — Yes, $101
  6. 0x21ff...0d71 — Yes, $80
  7. 0x561b...9b6c — Yes, $44
  8. 0x9236...e0cb — Yes, $40
  9. 0xc243...5e94 — No, $36
  10. 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $30

Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?

1dEagleRock IPO Closing Market Cap$1,304 tracked1 signalIPOsTechIPOFinancerewards 200, 4.5, 20
Yes
24¢
No
76¢

This market will resolve based on EagleRock Landing's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading. In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.

Price History — “No”
81¢
69¢
58¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?

3h ago

$1,304 on No at 70¢

70¢→76¢↑6¢