Part of: Elon Musk # tweets May 5 - May 12, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
This Polymarket market predicts whether Elon Musk will make 100 to 119 qualifying X posts between May 5 at 12:00 PM ET and May 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Qualifying activity includes main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, while replies generally do not count unless captured as main-feed replies by the tracker. The market resolves on May 12, 2026, with PolySpotter tracking $1,626 in smart money and 1 recent smart money signal so far.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 5 12:00 PM ET to May 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,626.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
15-wallet funded cluster
A 15-wallet linked cluster is buying the same Elon tweet-count bracket after a large upward price move, despite this specific wallet having a weak standalone win rate.
- 15 linked wallets share the same funder and are positioning in this market, suggesting one actor is spreading a coordinated bet.
- The market has already moved sharply toward this outcome, up 31 percentage points in the last day.
- This wallet’s own record is weak, but the cluster signal is strong enough to track.
$1,626 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 17%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $256,398
- 0xce1e...851f — Yes, $50,000
- 0x02b4...7092 — Yes, $30,000
- 0x0dcb...a7b4 — Yes, $27,258 (50% win rate)
- 0xc21e...e6d3 — Yes, $12,058
- 0x25f2...0822 — Yes, $10,017 (17% win rate)
- 0x8eab...a56d — Yes, $8,584 (23% win rate)
- 0x7354...430f — No, $8,235
- 0xa59c...bb62 — Yes, $7,974
- 0xb4e9...f380 — Yes, $7,506 (12% win rate)
