Part of: Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
This prediction market asks whether Elon Musk will publish 120-139 qualifying posts on X between August 14 at 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count, while replies generally do not; the market resolves on August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,201.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets
Notable Trades
Proven serial trader buys No
A highly experienced bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial positive edge is taking a No position in a moderately liquid market.
- This bettor wins 82% of 879 resolved trades and is up $206,496.
- They have identified opportunities across 39 events and 46 markets, showing a repeatable trading pattern.
- The No position was entered at 79¢, near the current market price and consistent with the 78% implied probability.
$1,459 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
Proven serial trader buys No
A highly experienced bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial positive edge is taking a No position in a moderately liquid market.
- This bettor wins 82% of 879 resolved trades and is up $206,496.
- They have identified opportunities across 39 events and 46 markets, showing a repeatable trading pattern.
- The No position was entered at 79¢, near the current market price and consistent with the 78% implied probability.
$1,743 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $96,443
- 0x0472...fc04 — Yes, $22,153 (65% win rate)
- 0x6167...4447 — Yes, $8,231
- 0xe5bd...339a — Yes, $7,250
- 0x12ed...c9b4 — Yes, $6,948 (23% win rate)
- 0x0f7f...6450 — Yes, $6,170 (20% win rate)
- 0xbbdc...5d81 — Yes, $5,005
- 0x2ef2...7f72 — Yes, $5,000 (45% win rate)
- 0x8eab...a56d — Yes, $5,000 (23% win rate)
- 0x590e...e43d — Yes, $3,853
Related Theses
Musk won’t post 40-64 tweets
Covers 1 related market
Nationals will defeat the Braves
Covers 1 related market
Musk will post 90-114 tweets
Covers 1 related market
Athletics will beat the Red Sox
Covers 1 related market
Musk Will Post 40-64 Tweets
Covers 1 related market
Yankees will defeat the Mariners
Covers 1 related market
Musk will post 40–64 tweets
Covers 1 related market
Yankees will beat Mariners
Covers 1 related market
Royals will beat the Tigers
Covers 1 related market
Musk will post 40+ tweets
Covers 1 related market
