Part of: Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Elon Musk will publish 120-139 qualifying posts on X between August 14 at 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count, while replies generally do not; the market resolves on August 21, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,201.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets

Notable Trades

Proven serial trader buys No

A highly experienced bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial positive edge is taking a No position in a moderately liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 82% of 879 resolved trades and is up $206,496.
  • They have identified opportunities across 39 events and 46 markets, showing a repeatable trading pattern.
  • The No position was entered at 79¢, near the current market price and consistent with the 78% implied probability.

$1,459 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Proven serial trader buys No

A highly experienced bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial positive edge is taking a No position in a moderately liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 82% of 879 resolved trades and is up $206,496.
  • They have identified opportunities across 39 events and 46 markets, showing a repeatable trading pattern.
  • The No position was entered at 79¢, near the current market price and consistent with the 78% implied probability.

$1,743 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $96,443
  2. 0x0472...fc04 Yes, $22,153 (65% win rate)
  3. 0x6167...4447 Yes, $8,231
  4. 0xe5bd...339a Yes, $7,250
  5. 0x12ed...c9b4 Yes, $6,948 (23% win rate)
  6. 0x0f7f...6450 Yes, $6,170 (20% win rate)
  7. 0xbbdc...5d81 Yes, $5,005
  8. 0x2ef2...7f72 Yes, $5,000 (45% win rate)
  9. 0x8eab...a56d Yes, $5,000 (23% win rate)
  10. 0x590e...e43d Yes, $3,853

Related Theses

Musk won’t post 40-64 tweets

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Nationals will defeat the Braves

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Musk will post 90-114 tweets

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Athletics will beat the Red Sox

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Musk Will Post 40-64 Tweets

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Yankees will defeat the Mariners

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Musk will post 40–64 tweets

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Yankees will beat Mariners

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Royals will beat the Tigers

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Musk will post 40+ tweets

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Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?$3,201 tracked2 signalsCulturePoliticsTweet Markets
Yes
28¢
No
72¢

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “No
98¢
83¢
68¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?

5d ago

$1,459 on No at 79¢

79¢72¢7¢

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?

6d ago

$1,743 on No at 79¢

79¢72¢7¢

Related Theses