Part of: Elon Musk # tweets May 5 - May 12, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
This Polymarket market predicts whether Elon Musk will post between 120 and 139 qualifying X posts from May 5 at 12:00 PM ET to May 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Qualifying activity includes main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, while replies generally do not count unless they appear on the main feed and are captured by the tracker. PolySpotter is tracking $4,220 in smart money activity and 1 recent smart money signal for this market ahead of its May 12, 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 5 12:00 PM ET to May 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,220.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
Profitable new repeat whale
New repeat large-bet wallet with strong early profit is adding a $4.2k Yes position into a tweet-count range that has already moved sharply higher.
- This new wallet has been flagged 5 times for large bets and is already up $9.1k.
- The bettor put $4.2k on Yes at 36¢ after the market rose 28% this week.
- They are also positioned across 2 markets in the same Elon tweet-count event, suggesting a broader thesis.
$4,220 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $220,988
- 0xce1e...851f — Yes, $50,000
- 0x02b4...7092 — Yes, $30,000
- 0x0dcb...a7b4 — Yes, $20,995 (50% win rate)
- 0x8eab...a56d — Yes, $8,581 (23% win rate)
- 0xa59c...bb62 — Yes, $8,110
- 0x0888...e6e3 — Yes, $6,000
- 0x5359...6b35 — Yes, $5,401
- 0xa49b...7054 — Yes, $5,382 (81% win rate)
- 0x35f3...cfd0 — Yes, $4,200
Related Theses
Musk tweets 120 to 139
Covers 2 related markets
