Part of: Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,676.

Categories: Politics, Culture, Tweet Markets

Notable Trades

Serial sharp bettor buys Yes

A highly experienced trader with an 82% win rate and substantial positive edge opened a fresh Yes position in a market showing strong upward momentum.

  • This bettor has won 82% of 900 resolved trades and is up $223,051.
  • Their results beat the average implied odds by 22 percentage points, indicating a meaningful historical edge.
  • The $1,015 fresh Yes bet at 78¢ follows a 72% one-week price increase.

$1,015 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Proven serial bettor buying No

A proven, highly profitable serial trader is buying No at 57¢ after a sharp market repricing, making this a strong copy-trade signal.

  • This bettor wins 76% of 83 resolved trades and is up $116,302 lifetime.
  • The wallet has traded across 33 events and 46 markets, showing a repeatable cross-market strategy.
  • It bought No at 57¢ while the market was already near 58% No, following a 33% weekly price increase.

$1,661 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 53931862, $113,089
  2. 0xfd5c...6d2a Outcome 53931862, $18,619 (34% win rate)
  3. 0xac4a...bf1e Outcome 53931862, $6,500
  4. 0x524d...4495 Outcome 53931862, $4,172 (78% win rate)
  5. 0xde03...e629 Outcome 53931862, $1,400
  6. 0x7279...4612 Outcome 53931862, $1,334
  7. 0x5364...c64d Outcome 53931862, $707
  8. 0x186c...1d32 Outcome 53931862, $650
  9. 0x97ff...d095 Outcome 53931862, $602 (73% win rate)
  10. 0x514b...6931 Outcome 53931862, $385 (49% win rate)

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Google Maps will rename Lake Ontario

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Israel will keep airspace open

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Musk tweets outside the range

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GTA VI trailer won’t arrive

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Musk won't post 160-179 tweets

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Iran-Oman won’t reach agreement

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Anthropic won’t IPO by October 31

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Musk will post outside range

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Musk tweets outside 200-219 range

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Israel-Iran ceasefire will hold

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Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026?$2,676 tracked2 signalsPoliticsCultureTweet Markets

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “No
93¢
75¢
56¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?

10d ago

$1,015 on Yes at 78¢

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?

12d ago

$1,661 on No at 57¢

Related Theses