This bettor has won 82% of 900 resolved trades and earned $223,051 in P&L. The trader’s results outperform their average entry odds by 22%, indicating a meaningful long-term edge. They are buying No at 79¢, aligned with the market’s current 80% No probability.

Part of: Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,860.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets

Notable Trades

82% winner buying No

A highly experienced bettor with 900 resolved trades, an 82% win rate, and a substantial edge is buying No at 79%.

This bettor has won 82% of 900 resolved trades and earned $223,051 in P&L.
The trader’s results outperform their average entry odds by 22%, indicating a meaningful long-term edge.
They are buying No at 79¢, aligned with the market’s current 80% No probability.

$1,526 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

82% winner buying No

A highly experienced bettor with 900 resolved trades, an 82% win rate, and a substantial edge is buying No at 79%.

This bettor has won 82% of 900 resolved trades and earned $223,051 in P&L.
The trader’s results outperform their average entry odds by 22%, indicating a meaningful long-term edge.
They are buying No at 79¢, aligned with the market’s current 80% No probability.

$1,281 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

82% winner buying No

A highly experienced bettor with 900 resolved trades, an 82% win rate, and a substantial edge is buying No at 79%.

This bettor has won 82% of 900 resolved trades and earned $223,051 in P&L.
The trader’s results outperform their average entry odds by 22%, indicating a meaningful long-term edge.
They are buying No at 79¢, aligned with the market’s current 80% No probability.

$1,054 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 28430434, $139,006
0xe6dd...d3f6 — Outcome 85299070, $13,014
0x590e...e43d — Outcome 85299070, $10,254
0xe089...ad3a — Outcome 85299070, $4,399 (85% win rate)
0x6845...c125 — Outcome 85299070, $3,399 (26% win rate)
0x0f7f...6450 — Outcome 85299070, $3,059 (20% win rate)
0x04a2...e16c — Outcome 85299070, $2,583
0x511f...cbe1 — Outcome 85299070, $2,377 (48% win rate)
0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 85299070, $2,247
0x1e3b...e3ba — Outcome 85299070, $2,223 (35% win rate)

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Musk Will Post 40-64 Tweets

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Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?$3,860 tracked3 signalsCulturePoliticsTweet Markets

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “No”

92¢

83¢

73¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction