Part of: Elon Musk # tweets May 26 - June 2, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 26 12:00 PM ET to June 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,541.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (1)
Notable Trades
81% serial cross-market bettor
Sharp serial cross-market wallet with an 81% resolved win rate is buying Yes on a fast-moving Elon tweet-count market near the end window.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades across 1,891 markets and is up about $11k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market history: 50 events, 132 markets, and $650k traded in similar positioning patterns.
- The market has surged 66 percentage points in 24 hours, and this buy at 85¢ follows strong momentum into resolution.
$1,541 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $248,940
- 0xf2f2...1762 — No, $44,802 (66% win rate)
- 0x53bd...5d30 — Yes, $40,771
- 0xa576...8678 — Yes, $37,000
- 0x02b4...7092 — Yes, $30,000
- 0xddd8...e6f7 — Yes, $17,365
- 0x6964...ef53 — Yes, $15,375 (81% win rate)
- 0x2ef2...7f72 — Yes, $11,220 (62% win rate)
- 0xbbdc...5d81 — Yes, $11,050
- 0x8eab...a56d — Yes, $10,345 (23% win rate)
Related Theses
Musk tweets moderately often
Covers 1 related market
Ceasefire extension won't happen
Covers 1 related market
