Part of: Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,100.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets

Notable Trades

Serial sharp bettor buying No

A highly experienced bettor with an 82% win rate across 901 resolved bets is buying No at near-market odds in a liquid, active market.

  • This bettor wins 82% of 901 resolved bets and is up $225,840 lifetime.
  • The wallet has traded across 53 events and 61 markets, indicating a repeatable cross-market process rather than a one-off wager.
  • It bought No at 72¢ while No is around 70%, with room to follow up to 82¢.

$1,039 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Serial sharp bettor buying No

A highly experienced bettor with an 82% win rate across 901 resolved bets is buying No at near-market odds in a liquid, active market.

  • This bettor wins 82% of 901 resolved bets and is up $225,840 lifetime.
  • The wallet has traded across 53 events and 61 markets, indicating a repeatable cross-market process rather than a one-off wager.
  • It bought No at 72¢ while No is around 70%, with room to follow up to 82¢.

$1,061 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 89982820, $139,006
  2. 0xe83c...04ce Outcome 80463628, $7,454
  3. 0x12ed...c9b4 Outcome 80463628, $5,450 (24% win rate)
  4. 0x590e...e43d Outcome 80463628, $5,147
  5. 0x2ef2...7f72 Outcome 80463628, $5,000 (45% win rate)
  6. 0x2924...dcde Outcome 80463628, $4,791
  7. 0xac4a...bf1e Outcome 80463628, $2,906
  8. 0x35f3...cfd0 Outcome 80463628, $2,698
  9. 0xef0d...8733 Outcome 80463628, $2,500
  10. 0xe559...1300 Outcome 80463628, $2,215

Related Theses

Musk will post 40+ tweets

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Nationals will defeat the Braves

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Musk will tweet 40-64 times

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Athletics will beat the Red Sox

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Musk Will Post 40-64 Tweets

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Musk will post 200-219 tweets

Covers 1 related market

Yankees will defeat the Mariners

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Musk will post 90-114 tweets

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Royals will beat the Tigers

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Anthropic IPO won’t happen by deadline

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Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?$2,100 tracked2 signalsCulturePoliticsTweet Markets

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?

17d ago

$1,039 on No at 72¢

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?

18d ago

$1,061 on No at 72¢

Related Theses