Four wallets are all effectively buying Yes, totaling about $9.8K in the same direction. Market volume is surging 118x above normal, with Yes up 19 points over the past day. Two of the wallets are long-term profitable, including one up $386K lifetime.

Part of: Elon Musk # tweets May 26 - June 2, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,244.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (1)

Notable Trades

Coordinated Yes flow

Four wallets, including profitable high-volume bettors, are effectively buying Yes amid a 118x volume spike in a near-resolution Elon tweet-count market.

Four wallets are all effectively buying Yes, totaling about $9.8K in the same direction.
Market volume is surging 118x above normal, with Yes up 19 points over the past day.
Two of the wallets are long-term profitable, including one up $386K lifetime.

$9,843 on Yes

81% serial cross-market trader

A highly experienced 81% win-rate cross-market trader sold Yes before a sharp move down, supported by a large volume spike and price momentum.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved markets across 1,891 trades.
They sold Yes at 36¢ before it dropped to 17¢, showing strong timing on this move.
Market volume spiked 163x normal, suggesting the tweet-count odds are being actively repriced.

$1,401 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 28482161, $248,940
0xf2f2...1762 — Outcome 74991938, $58,196 (66% win rate)
0xa576...8678 — Outcome 74991938, $23,400
0xa49b...7054 — Outcome 74991938, $13,623 (74% win rate)
0x02b4...7092 — Outcome 74991938, $10,747
0xd713...af79 — Outcome 74991938, $10,000
0xb796...58a8 — Outcome 74991938, $10,000
0x1abc...45e7 — Outcome 74991938, $6,937
0x4e39...8cbf — Outcome 74991938, $6,666
0x6df7...afb0 — Outcome 74991938, $6,444

Related Theses

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Musk tweets moderately often

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Ceasefire extension won't happen

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Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets May 26 - June 2, 2026?$11,244 tracked2 signalsCulturePoliticsTweet MarketsRewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (1)

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 26 12:00 PM ET to June 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.