Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
This Polymarket tracks whether Elon Musk will make between 200 and 219 qualifying posts on X from April 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET through April 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Counted posts include main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, while most replies do not count. The market resolves on April 21, 2026, and recent smart money activity shows sharp buying on the YES side.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,528.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster buying YES
Three wallets piled into the same YES side on this tweet-count market, led by one wallet with a strong 76% win rate and +$167k P&L, while the market has already been moving up sharply.
- A bettor who wins 76% of their trades and is up $167k led this move into YES around 20-24¢.
- Three wallets all bought the same side within minutes, totaling $4.2k across this market.
- The market is already moving their way, up 11 points in a day and nearly 20 points over the week.
$4,237 on Yes
Sharp bettor buying longshot
A proven profitable bettor with a strong edge is buying a 20¢ longshot in a liquid market, making this a credible sharp-conviction signal despite only one trigger.
- This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up about $167k across 45 resolved positions
- They bought Yes at 20¢, a price that suggests they see this outcome as meaningfully underpriced
- The market is active and trending up, with this outcome up 6.6 points in a day and 16.1 points in a week
$1,291 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $348,358
- 0x5116...58c4 — Yes, $35,141 (41% win rate)
- 0x02b4...7092 — Yes, $30,000
- 0xc6c3...1ab9 — Yes, $22,326 (14% win rate)
- 0xacbc...7cc3 — Yes, $19,089 (76% win rate)
- 0x525e...0b73 — Yes, $18,243
- 0x0f7f...6450 — Yes, $12,643 (20% win rate)
- 0xddd8...e6f7 — Yes, $12,520
- 0xb56a...9caf — Yes, $10,445
- 0xb796...58a8 — Yes, $10,000
