Part of: Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 21 12:00 PM ET to August 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,387.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets
Notable Trades
Proven serial trader buys Yes
A highly experienced bettor with 893 resolved trades and a substantial edge is making a fresh Yes bet while the market has risen 20%.
- This bettor wins 82% of 893 resolved trades and is up $216,352 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader active across 49 events, with $107,885 in tracked volume.
- The $1,387 Yes entry at 38¢ follows a 20% one-day price rise, signaling continued conviction despite the move.
$1,387 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $132,188
- 0xfd5c...6d2a — Yes, $9,688 (34% win rate)
- 0x590e...e43d — Yes, $7,154
- 0x2ef2...7f72 — Yes, $6,000 (45% win rate)
- 0x8565...0c43 — Yes, $5,336 (82% win rate)
- 0x504e...1a2f — Yes, $5,000
- 0x35f3...cfd0 — Yes, $3,844
- 0x59a1...a8d1 — Yes, $3,000
- 0x5c96...597e — Yes, $2,845
- 0x206b...7d6a — Yes, $2,500
Related Theses
Musk will post 40+ tweets
Covers 1 related market
Nationals will defeat the Braves
Covers 1 related market
Musk will tweet 40-64 times
Covers 1 related market
Athletics will beat the Red Sox
Covers 1 related market
Musk Will Post 40-64 Tweets
Covers 1 related market
Musk will post 200-219 tweets
Covers 1 related market
Yankees will defeat the Mariners
Covers 1 related market
Musk will post 90-114 tweets
Covers 1 related market
Royals will beat the Tigers
Covers 1 related market
Anthropic IPO won’t happen by deadline
Covers 1 related market
