Part of: Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 21 12:00 PM ET to August 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,387.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets

Notable Trades

Proven serial trader buys Yes

A highly experienced bettor with 893 resolved trades and a substantial edge is making a fresh Yes bet while the market has risen 20%.

  • This bettor wins 82% of 893 resolved trades and is up $216,352 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader active across 49 events, with $107,885 in tracked volume.
  • The $1,387 Yes entry at 38¢ follows a 20% one-day price rise, signaling continued conviction despite the move.

$1,387 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $132,188
  2. 0xfd5c...6d2a — Yes, $9,688 (34% win rate)
  3. 0x590e...e43d — Yes, $7,154
  4. 0x2ef2...7f72 — Yes, $6,000 (45% win rate)
  5. 0x8565...0c43 — Yes, $5,336 (82% win rate)
  6. 0x504e...1a2f — Yes, $5,000
  7. 0x35f3...cfd0 — Yes, $3,844
  8. 0x59a1...a8d1 — Yes, $3,000
  9. 0x5c96...597e — Yes, $2,845
  10. 0x206b...7d6a — Yes, $2,500

Related Theses

Musk will post 40+ tweets

Covers 1 related market

Nationals will defeat the Braves

Covers 1 related market

Musk will tweet 40-64 times

Covers 1 related market

Athletics will beat the Red Sox

Covers 1 related market

Musk Will Post 40-64 Tweets

Covers 1 related market

Musk will post 200-219 tweets

Covers 1 related market

Yankees will defeat the Mariners

Covers 1 related market

Musk will post 90-114 tweets

Covers 1 related market

Royals will beat the Tigers

Covers 1 related market

Anthropic IPO won’t happen by deadline

Covers 1 related market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026?$1,387 tracked1 signalCulturePoliticsTweet Markets
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 21 12:00 PM ET to August 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

2026-08-26 19:28 UTC

$1,387 on Yes at 38¢

Related Theses