Part of: Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,387.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets

Notable Trades

Proven serial trader buys Yes

A highly experienced bettor with 893 resolved trades and a substantial edge is making a fresh Yes bet while the market has risen 20%.

  • This bettor wins 82% of 893 resolved trades and is up $216,352 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader active across 49 events, with $107,885 in tracked volume.
  • The $1,387 Yes entry at 38¢ follows a 20% one-day price rise, signaling continued conviction despite the move.

$1,387 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

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  2. 0x5116...58c4 Outcome 99594713, $10,000 (41% win rate)
  3. 0xfd5c...6d2a Outcome 99594713, $9,688 (34% win rate)
  4. 0x590e...e43d Outcome 99594713, $7,154
  5. 0x2ef2...7f72 Outcome 99594713, $6,000 (45% win rate)
  6. 0x8565...0c43 Outcome 99594713, $5,336 (82% win rate)
  7. 0x504e...1a2f Outcome 99594713, $5,000
  8. 0x35f3...cfd0 Outcome 99594713, $3,844
  9. 0x59a1...a8d1 Outcome 99594713, $3,000
  10. 0x5c96...597e Outcome 99594713, $2,845

Related Theses

Musk will post 40+ tweets

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Nationals will defeat the Braves

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Musk will tweet 40-64 times

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Athletics will beat the Red Sox

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Musk Will Post 40-64 Tweets

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Musk will post 200-219 tweets

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Yankees will defeat the Mariners

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Musk will post 90-114 tweets

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Royals will beat the Tigers

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Anthropic IPO won’t happen by deadline

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Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026?$1,387 tracked1 signalCulturePoliticsTweet Markets

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 21 12:00 PM ET to August 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “No
92¢
77¢
61¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

16d ago

$1,387 on Yes at 38¢

Related Theses