Part of: Elon Musk # tweets June 26 - July 3, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 26 12:00 PM ET to July 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,033.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets
Notable Trades
9-wallet funded cluster
A known 9-wallet funded cluster is buying No on a thin Elon tweet-count market, backed by a seasoned wallet with positive lifetime P&L.
- Nine wallets tied to the same funder have been active together, suggesting one coordinated bettor behind the flow.
- The active wallet has 1,970 resolved trades and is up about $39.8K lifetime.
- They bought No at 79¢ in a low-volume market, implying confidence this exact tweet range misses.
$1,033 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $219,233
- 0x02b4...7092 — Yes, $20,000 (43% win rate)
- 0x206b...7d6a — Yes, $7,320
- 0xfd5c...6d2a — Yes, $6,754 (34% win rate)
- 0x53bd...5d30 — Yes, $5,977
- 0x2ef2...7f72 — Yes, $5,000 (45% win rate)
- 0x35f3...cfd0 — Yes, $4,542
- 0x01b8...82c1 — Yes, $4,477 (65% win rate)
- 0xcba3...6055 — Yes, $4,000 (31% win rate)
- 0x0f7f...6450 — Yes, $3,581 (21% win rate)
Related Theses
Musk won't post 180-219 tweets
Covers 2 related markets
