Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,801.
Notable Trades
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
A serial cross-market trader with a 95% win rate is making another high-confidence binary bet, and the wallet’s track record is strong enough to surface even in a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades with 77 wins in 81 markets
- They trade across many related markets with a strong record: 42 events and 71 markets
- Bought No at 88¢, a high-confidence position from a wallet that usually plays heavy favorites well
$5,801 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $325,477
- 0x5116...58c4 — Yes, $71,419 (41% win rate)
- 0x952c...be27 — Yes, $18,725
- 0xfa10...6b3d — Yes, $17,183 (94% win rate)
- 0x0f7f...6450 — Yes, $14,400
- 0x02b4...7092 — Yes, $13,000
- 0xba8b...62fd — No, $10,144
- 0xddd8...e6f7 — Yes, $10,000
- 0xb796...58a8 — Yes, $10,000
- 0xacbc...7cc3 — Yes, $8,222
