Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 21 12:00 PM ET to April 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,600.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
81% win-rate cross-market bettor
Surface this because a proven high-volume bettor with an 81% win rate across 1,456 resolved trades is buying into strong momentum on an active cross-market thesis.
- This bettor wins 81% of 1,456 resolved trades across 40 events, making them worth tracking despite the modest size here.
- They bought Yes at 80¢ after this market jumped 46 points in a day, suggesting they still see value even after the move.
- This is part of a broad 121-market pattern from a trader who has deployed over $634k across related event markets.
$1,600 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $285,996
- 0x5116...58c4 — Yes, $38,209 (40% win rate)
- 0x02b4...7092 — Yes, $30,000
- 0x2ec8...f196 — Yes, $23,111 (90% win rate)
- 0x7579...94c6 — No, $20,635
- 0x4067...6ffa — Yes, $9,974
- 0x8eab...a56d — Yes, $9,025 (23% win rate)
- 0xc6c3...1ab9 — Yes, $7,859 (12% win rate)
- 0x3a7d...5913 — Yes, $6,927 (86% win rate)
- 0xa638...1d87 — Yes, $6,755 (53% win rate)
