Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
This Polymarket tracks whether Elon Musk will make between 220 and 239 qualifying posts on X from April 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET through April 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The count includes main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, but excludes standard replies, with resolution set for April 10, 2026. PolySpotter also shows smart money activity on this Elon Musk tweet-count market, including tracked bettor signals and capital flow.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,475.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automations 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
96% win-rate bettor
A serial cross-market bettor with a 96% win rate is taking the Yes side here via a sell of No, which is notable despite the modest size because the track record is exceptional.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades across 463 markets
- They effectively bought Yes at 58¢ by selling No at 42¢
- The market has been moving fast, up 47 points in a day, so this adds to a strong trend
$1,272 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%
92% win-rate bettor
A serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate is taking a fresh position here, which is notable despite the modest size and only one signal.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved markets across 221 bets.
- They trade heavily across related events: 120 events and 186 markets tracked.
- They effectively bought Yes at 50¢, a clear even-money entry from a proven market picker.
$1,163 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
96% win-rate bettor
A serial cross-market bettor with a 96% win rate is taking a fresh binary position here, which is notable despite the modest size and otherwise routine market conditions.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades across 463 markets.
- The trade is a fresh bet, not profit-taking, from a wallet that has traded 351 markets in 147 events.
- Selling No at 54¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 46¢, close to the current 44¢-45¢ market.
$1,609 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%
96% win-rate serial bettor
A serial cross-market bettor with a 96% win rate is taking the Yes side here via a No sale, making this worth surfacing despite the modest size and only one signal.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades across 463 markets and has traded over $4.1M
- They sold No at 63¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes around 37¢
- The market has already moved sharply higher this week, up 25 points in 7 days
$1,313 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%
92% win-rate serial bettor
A serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate is taking the Yes side here via a sell of No, making this a strong copy-trade despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades across 221 markets.
- They sold No at 61¢, which is the same as buying Yes at 39¢.
- The market has surged 28.5 points in a day, so their bet aligns with strong recent momentum.
$2,116 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $375,958
- 0x02b4...7092 — Yes, $30,000
- 0x5116...58c4 — Yes, $29,999 (41% win rate)
- 0x952c...be27 — Yes, $18,224
- 0x525e...0b73 — Yes, $17,835
- 0xacbc...7cc3 — Yes, $17,278 (76% win rate)
- 0xba8b...62fd — No, $14,740
- 0x90ed...b5bc — Yes, $14,443 (24% win rate)
- 0x77c8...bc8c — Yes, $13,652 (62% win rate)
- 0x0f7f...6450 — Yes, $12,075 (20% win rate)
