Part of: Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,315.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automations 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

80% win-rate serial trader

A serial cross-market trader with an 80% win rate is taking a fresh directional position here, which is notable despite the modest size and meme-like market.

  • This bettor wins 80% of 1,277 resolved trades across 118 markets.
  • The trade is a sell of Yes at 51¢, which translates to buying No around 49¢.
  • They trade repeatedly across related event markets, suggesting a process rather than a one-off bet.

$2,315 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

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Iranian blockade will persist through September

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Musk tweets 65-89 times

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Musk tweets moderately often

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Covers 1 related market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?$2,315 tracked1 signalCulturePoliticsTweet MarketsRewards Automations 200 4.5 50
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

2026-04-10 14:40 UTC

$2,315 on No at 49¢

Related Theses