Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
This Polymarket tracks whether Elon Musk will make between 240 and 259 qualifying posts on X from April 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET through April 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Counting includes main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, while most replies do not count unless they appear on the main feed and are captured by the tracker. The market resolves on April 10, 2026, based on the final counted total.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,315.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automations 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
80% win-rate serial trader
A serial cross-market trader with an 80% win rate is taking a fresh directional position here, which is notable despite the modest size and meme-like market.
- This bettor wins 80% of 1,277 resolved trades across 118 markets.
- The trade is a sell of Yes at 51¢, which translates to buying No around 49¢.
- They trade repeatedly across related event markets, suggesting a process rather than a one-off bet.
$2,315 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $413,482
- 0x689a...779e — Yes, $43,842
- 0x5116...58c4 — Yes, $39,998 (41% win rate)
- 0x7579...94c6 — No, $35,576
- 0x02b4...7092 — Yes, $30,000
- 0x952c...be27 — Yes, $20,000
- 0xa638...1d87 — Yes, $14,107
- 0x48c5...89f3 — Yes, $13,802
- 0xaca2...b9a1 — Yes, $13,610 (40% win rate)
- 0x3f0c...3fd7 — Yes, $12,957 (50% win rate)
