Part of: Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,885.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automations 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor buying No

A profitable sharp wallet with a strong edge-adjusted 76% win rate is buying No in this active Elon tweet-count market at 65¢, suggesting a followable opinion rather than routine noise.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up about $165k overall.
  • They bought No at 65¢ in a liquid market, implying they see the true odds above that level.
  • Their average winning entry is just 36¢, which suggests they have a track record of finding mispriced markets.

$4,853 on No | Wallet win rate: 23%

Sharp bettor buys No

A profitable sharp bettor with a strong edge and 76% win rate bought No at 62¢ in a moderately active market that has already moved sharply higher.

  • This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up about $164k across 45 resolved positions
  • They bought No at 62¢, a price that suggests they think this outcome is still undervalued
  • The market is active and already up 27 points over the week, so this looks like a deliberate view rather than random flow

$4,032 on No | Wallet win rate: 23%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 32054702, $416,560
  2. 0x02b4...7092 Outcome 59591110, $30,000
  3. 0x952c...be27 Outcome 59591110, $22,297
  4. 0x3f0c...3fd7 Outcome 59591110, $14,175 (47% win rate)
  5. 0x525e...0b73 Outcome 59591110, $8,991
  6. 0xde9b...44fd Outcome 59591110, $7,000
  7. 0x9994...03dd Outcome 59591110, $6,118
  8. 0xcade...db51 Outcome 59591110, $5,527
  9. 0xbc13...5578 Outcome 59591110, $5,178
  10. 0x0888...e6e3 Outcome 59591110, $5,000

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Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?$8,885 tracked2 signalsCulturePoliticsTweet MarketsRewards Automations 200 4.5 50

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

45d ago

$4,853 on No at 65¢

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

47d ago

$4,032 on No at 62¢

Related Theses