Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

This Polymarket asks whether Elon Musk will make between 240 and 259 X posts during the week from April 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The count includes main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, but excludes standard replies unless they appear on the main feed. The market resolves on April 14, 2026, and current smart money activity shows a recent sharp bettor leaning No.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,885.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automations 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor buying No

A profitable sharp wallet with a strong edge-adjusted 76% win rate is buying No in this active Elon tweet-count market at 65¢, suggesting a followable opinion rather than routine noise.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up about $165k overall.
  • They bought No at 65¢ in a liquid market, implying they see the true odds above that level.
  • Their average winning entry is just 36¢, which suggests they have a track record of finding mispriced markets.

$4,853 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

Sharp bettor buys No

A profitable sharp bettor with a strong edge and 76% win rate bought No at 62¢ in a moderately active market that has already moved sharply higher.

  • This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up about $164k across 45 resolved positions
  • They bought No at 62¢, a price that suggests they think this outcome is still undervalued
  • The market is active and already up 27 points over the week, so this looks like a deliberate view rather than random flow

$4,032 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 32054702, $315,029
  2. 0x02b4...7092 — Outcome 59591110, $30,000
  3. 0x689a...779e — Outcome 59591110, $12,808 (17% win rate)
  4. 0xfafe...2e34 — Outcome 59591110, $12,574 (44% win rate)
  5. 0xaca2...b9a1 — Outcome 59591110, $11,919 (40% win rate)
  6. 0x832d...6ec5 — Outcome 59591110, $11,000
  7. 0xb796...58a8 — Outcome 59591110, $10,000
  8. 0xa59c...bb62 — Outcome 59591110, $9,677
  9. 0xd7ef...c5f4 — Outcome 32054702, $9,000
  10. 0x525e...0b73 — Outcome 59591110, $8,991

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

1d$8,885 tracked2 signalsCulturePoliticsTweet MarketsRewards Automations 200 4.5 50

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

21h ago

$4,853 on No at 65¢

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

1d ago

$4,032 on No at 62¢

Related Theses

Wallet_0xacbca trades 2 related markets
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