Part of: Elon Musk # tweets May 19 - May 26, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
This prediction market asks whether Elon Musk will make 280 to 299 qualifying X posts between May 19 at 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Qualifying posts include main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, while replies generally do not count unless captured as main-feed replies by the tracker. The market resolves on May 26, 2026, with $1,498 in smart money tracked and one recent signal showing a repeat bettor buying Yes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 19 12:00 PM ET to May 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,498.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
New repeat bettor buying Yes
A 6-day-old wallet with repeated flagged bets and early profits bought Yes at 15¢ on an in-progress Elon tweet-count market where active tracking could provide an edge.
- This 6-day-old wallet has already made 10 flagged bets totaling about $16K.
- The bettor is up $1.2K so far, though the track record is still only 2 resolved wins.
- Buying Yes at 15¢ suggests they see value in this narrow tweet-count range while the market prices it at 16%.
$1,498 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $224,170
- 0x02b4...7092 — Yes, $30,000
- 0x48c5...89f3 — Yes, $18,999 (32% win rate)
- 0x689a...779e — Yes, $18,176 (17% win rate)
- 0x4067...6ffa — Yes, $11,577
- 0xbbdc...5d81 — Yes, $11,170
- 0xf2f2...1762 — Yes, $10,064 (100% win rate)
- 0x471a...0328 — No, $8,605 (65% win rate)
- 0x8eab...a56d — Yes, $8,000 (23% win rate)
- 0x0f7f...6450 — Yes, $6,159 (20% win rate)
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