Part of: Elon Musk # tweets May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,498.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

New repeat bettor buying Yes

A 6-day-old wallet with repeated flagged bets and early profits bought Yes at 15¢ on an in-progress Elon tweet-count market where active tracking could provide an edge.

This 6-day-old wallet has already made 10 flagged bets totaling about $16K.
The bettor is up $1.2K so far, though the track record is still only 2 resolved wins.
Buying Yes at 15¢ suggests they see value in this narrow tweet-count range while the market prices it at 16%.

$1,498 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 14949277, $401,293
0x02cb...569c — Outcome 99374234, $69,618
0x4067...6ffa — Outcome 99374234, $11,577 (40% win rate)
0xf2f2...1762 — Outcome 99374234, $10,064 (68% win rate)
0x2379...178e — Outcome 99374234, $10,000 (40% win rate)
0x146d...17c7 — Outcome 99374234, $9,483
0xef0d...8733 — Outcome 99374234, $7,000
0x0f7f...6450 — Outcome 99374234, $6,159 (19% win rate)
0x0888...e6e3 — Outcome 99374234, $6,000
0x53bd...5d30 — Outcome 99374234, $5,851

Related Theses

Musk avoids those tweet ranges

Covers 2 related markets

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets May 19 - May 26, 2026?$1,498 tracked1 signalCulturePoliticsTweet MarketsRewards Automation 200 4.5 50

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 19 12:00 PM ET to May 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.