Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,081.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor buying momentum
A proven profitable wallet with a strong long-term edge bought into a fast-moving Elon tweet-count market at 82¢, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up about $167k across 45 resolved markets
- They bought at 82¢ even after the market jumped 36 points in a day, suggesting they still see value
- The market is active and liquid, so this looks more like a deliberate sharp entry than a random thin-market punt
$2,081 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $386,988
- 0x689a...779e — Yes, $44,328 (17% win rate)
- 0xddd8...e6f7 — Yes, $33,056
- 0xa59c...bb62 — Yes, $32,359
- 0x02b4...7092 — Yes, $32,000
- 0x4247...91c4 — No, $29,443 (42% win rate)
- 0xba8b...62fd — No, $28,346
- 0x48c5...89f3 — Yes, $26,544 (32% win rate)
- 0x471a...0328 — Yes, $22,872
- 0x8eab...a56d — Yes, $22,786
