This bettor wins 76% of their trades and has made about $167k profit across 45 resolved markets They bought No at 46¢, a price that implies roughly a 54% chance this range misses The wallet’s average winning entry is 36¢, suggesting they tend to profit by buying mispriced long shots

Part of: Elon Musk # tweets April 18 - April 20, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,442.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

Profitable 4-wallet cluster

A profitable wallet with a 75% win rate bought Yes at 84¢, and it belongs to a 4-wallet funded cluster that has shown up across prior runs on a fast-moving market.

This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $30.9k lifetime
Four wallets funded by the same address have appeared together on this thesis across prior runs
They bought at 84¢ while this market jumped 44.5 points in a day, showing strong momentum

$1,663 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%

Sharp bettor buys No

A proven sharp wallet with a 76% win rate and strong edge bought No at 46¢ in a liquid event market after a big recent move, making this a credible copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

This bettor wins 76% of their trades and has made about $167k profit across 45 resolved markets
They bought No at 46¢, a price that implies roughly a 54% chance this range misses
The wallet’s average winning entry is 36¢, suggesting they tend to profit by buying mispriced long shots

$1,780 on No | Wallet win rate: 14%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 67581424, $86,731
0x5a23...ab0b — Outcome 67581424, $12,351
0x92b4...3cf1 — Outcome 67581424, $8,106
0x9c4a...4896 — Outcome 67581424, $2,120
0xd8c4...848d — Outcome 67581424, $2,000
0xed41...38af — Outcome 67581424, $1,988
0x847e...917f — Outcome 67581424, $1,530
0xa638...1d87 — Outcome 67581424, $1,519 (54% win rate)
0x849c...4009 — Outcome 67581424, $1,463
0x4c8e...b38f — Outcome 67581424, $1,208

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Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets April 18 - April 20, 2026?$3,442 tracked2 signalsCulturePoliticsTweet MarketsRewards Automation 200 4.5 50

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 18 12:00 PM ET to April 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.