Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
This Polymarket asks whether Elon Musk will post between 40 and 64 times on X during the window from April 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET to April 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count toward the total, while most replies do not. The market resolves on April 20, 2026, and PolySpotter is currently tracking $1,780 in smart money activity, including a recent sharp bettor buying No.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 18 12:00 PM ET to April 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,780.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor buys No
A proven sharp wallet with a 76% win rate and strong edge bought No at 46¢ in a liquid event market after a big recent move, making this a credible copy-trade signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 76% of their trades and has made about $167k profit across 45 resolved markets
- They bought No at 46¢, a price that implies roughly a 54% chance this range misses
- The wallet’s average winning entry is 36¢, suggesting they tend to profit by buying mispriced long shots
$1,780 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $26,962
- 0xacbc...7cc3 — No, $4,369 (76% win rate)
- 0xe6b7...227b — No, $4,071 (57% win rate)
- 0xd769...f90c — Yes, $3,000
- 0x30e2...77e1 — No, $2,957 (23% win rate)
- 0x35f3...cfd0 — Yes, $2,800
- 0x77c8...bc8c — Yes, $2,568 (29% win rate)
- 0x8288...5519 — Yes, $2,000
- 0xc507...6054 — Yes, $1,986
- 0x12ed...c9b4 — Yes, $1,933
